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  • European stocks opened mixed and traded choppily since, with macro drivers light; FTSE 100 is subdued post-GDP.
  • DXY drifted lower in early Europe after holding steady overnight, with little reaction to the passage and signing of the US funding bill that formally ends the shutdown.
  • USTs opened softer as risk appetite improved overnight following the House vote to end the shutdown and President Trump signing the legislation.
  • Crude benchmarks...
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  • US President Trump signed the government funding bill and announced an end to the government shutdown after the House voted to approve the bill, while Trump said the government will resume normal operations and reiterated a call for money to be paid to people directly to buy healthcare.
  • White House Press Secretary Leavitt said the October CPI and jobs data is likely to never be released, while it was separately reported that there was no official word from BLS on plans for October...
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  • US House to vote on a bill which could end the shutdown and keep the government funded through January 2026.
  • European bourses are broadly firmer and continue to make highs, US equity futures also gain with the RTY (+1%) outperforming.
  • USD is firmer ahead of a slew of Fed speakers, GBP pressured on political uncertainty; JPY lags.
  • Global bonds are softer given the risk tone, Gilts lag with PM Starmer pressured into...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed with the region indecisive amid light fresh catalysts and as participants digested earnings.
  • House Democratic caucus will meet at noon Wednesday in Washington, according to Punchbowl's Sherman
  • UK’s Downing Street has launched an extraordinary operation to protect UK PM Starmer amid fears among the PM’s closest allies that he is vulnerable to a leadership challenge in the wake of the Budget, according to The Guardian's...
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  • China is reportedly devising a plan to keep the US military from getting its rare earth magnets and is considering a ‘validated end-user’ system to fast-track certain export licenses, according to WSJ.
  • European bourses firmer across the board, with outperformance in the FTSE 100; US equity futures are modestly lower.
  • NVIDIA slips -1.5% after Softbank sells stake and following poor CoreWeave results.
  • GBP slides on dismal UK jobs, EUR...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly subdued with the region failing to sustain the positive global risk momentum that had been spurred by US-China trade optimism and US government reopening hopes, while there were few fresh catalysts overnight to fuel the recent rally.
  • US Senate voted 60 vs. 40 to pass legislation to fund the federal government and end the shutdown, while the bill now goes to the House.
  • US House Speaker Johnson is seeking a Wednesday vote on the stopgap bill,...
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  • US Senate voted 60 vs 40 to advance the government funding bill through the procedural hurdle, moving it closer towards passage, after 8 Democrats supported the measure in a rare Sunday session.
  • European and US equity futures are stronger across the board as senators take first steps to ending the US government shutdown; NQ +1.5%.
  • USD softer against high-beta FX but higher against havens amid the risk-on mood.
  • USTs slip on US Government...
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  • APAC stocks traded higher amid the improving US-China trade environment and with hopes of ending the US government shutdown as several Democrats supported Republicans to pass a measure through the procedural vote in a rare Senate session on Sunday.
  • US Senate voted 60 vs 40 to advance the government funding bill through the procedural hurdle, moving it closer towards passage, after 8 Democrats supported the measure in a rare Sunday session.
  • Chinese inflation data...
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  • MON: BoJ Summary of Opinions (Oct); Norwegian CPI (Oct), EZ Sentix (Nov), Chinese M2 & New Yuan Loans (Oct)
  • TUE: US Veterans' Day; New Zealand Inflation Forecasts (Q4), UK Unemployment Rate/Wages (Sep), EZ & German ZEW (Nov), US NFIB (Oct), ADP’s new weekly “preliminary” jobs estimate
  • WED: BoC Minutes (Oct), EIA STEO, OPEC MOMR
  • THU: IEA OMR; UK GDP (Sep/Q3), EZ Industrial Production (Sep), US Cleveland Fed (Oct), New Zealand...
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  • US is to block NVIDIA's (NVDA) sale of scaled-back AI chips to China, according to The Information.
  • European bourses opened firmer but ultimately conformed to the subdued risk tone, US equity futures also mildly in the red.
  • DXY bid awaiting UoM, trading around 99.78; Kiwi underperforms.
  • Bunds were initially hit by the US risk tone, EGBs then slipped on German data, no reaction to the deteriorating European...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly lower as the region took its cue from the risk-off mood stateside, where sentiment was weighed on by weak US labour market proxies and AI concerns, while sentiment was also not helped by weak Chinese trade data.
  • US President Trump said they will need a game plan if the Supreme Court case on tariffs does not go well, and can do other things, but they are slow in comparison.
  • US President Trump added there are no new tariff announcements coming...
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  • Challenger October US Job Cuts jump 175.3% to a 7-month high at 153.074k (prev. 54.064k in September).
  • European bourses are on the backfoot; US equity futures are modestly firmer/flat.
  • Surprise early US Challenger release takes DXY sub-100; NOK gains on Norges, GBP awaits the BoE.
  • Early Challenger lifted USTs to a session high, Gilts await the BoE.
  • Crude benchmarks are higher despite Saudi oil price cuts and US...
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  • APAC stocks were higher as the region took impetus from the rebound on Wall St, where all major indices gained amid dip buying.
  • European equity futures indicate an uneventful cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures relatively flat after the cash market closed with gains of 0.2% on Wednesday.
  • DXY traded rangebound after having recently snapped a 5-day rally, despite firmer-than-expected ADP and ISM Services data, while catalysts were quiet...
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  • European bourses are entirely in the red; US equity futures mixed, with the NQ continuing to underperform whilst the RTY takes a breather.
  • Recent USD rally pauses for breath ahead of ADP and ISM services.
  • USTs are contained into a packed agenda, Gilts continue to ease from Tuesday's best.
  • Commodities rebound following Tuesday’s risk-off sell-off.
  • Looking ahead, highlights include US Final PMI, US ADP, US ISM Services...
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  • APAC stocks were mixed after an early sell-off following the losses stateside, where tech underperformed amid valuation concerns.
  • European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.7% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.3% on Tuesday.
  • The USD rally has paused for breath (DXY remains above 100), EUR/USD is unable to reclaim 1.15 status, USD/JPY failed to hold below 153.
  • Global fixed income...
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  • RBA kept Cash Rate unchanged at 3.60%, as expected; judged some of the increase in underlying inflation in Q3 was due to temporary factors.
  • European bourses are lower across the board with sentiment downbeat; US equity futures are in the red, NQ -1.3%.
  • DXY briefly returned to a 100 handle, GBP slipped post-Reeves, who failed to reiterate her tax-related pledges, Antipodeans lag.
  • Gilts outperform amid tax rise speculation, USTs await Fed...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly subdued following the mixed lead from Wall St, where the majority of sectors declined but tech outperformed.
  • RBA kept Cash Rate unchanged at 3.60%, as expected; judged some of the increase in underlying inflation in Q3 was due to temporary factors.
  • European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.8% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.3% on Monday.
  • DXY is flat,...
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  • European bourses are firmer following constructive EU-China trade developments, US equity futures also gain.
  • USD fractionally higher and now eyes 100.00, CHF hampered by CPI.
  • Bonds are relatively contained into a session of central bank speak and the ISM Manufacturing series.
  • Crude reverses initial gains after OPEC+ opted to raise output again by a modest 137k bpd in December before pausing for Q1 2026; XAU essentially flat, whilst base...
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  • APAC stocks traded mostly higher overnight. European equity futures indicate a mildly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.2%.
  • Chinese RatingDog Manufacturing PMI data disappointed amid a sharp decline in export orders.
  • Fed’s Waller said he still advocates for the Fed to cut rates in December and said data fog does not tell you to stop.
  • Crude futures gained at the open as participants digested the latest OPEC+...
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  • SUN: US clocks change (LDN-NY gap reverts to 5hrs); OPEC-8 Meeting. Australian Final PMIs (Oct)
  • MON: Japan Culture Day Holiday; Swiss CPI (Oct), EZ, UK & US Final Manufacturing PMI (Oct), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Oct), Construction Spending (Sep)
  • TUE: RBA Announcement & SoMP, French Assembly Budget (PLF/Revenue) Vote; Canadian Trade Balance (Sep), New Zealand Unemployment (Q3)
  • WED: US Supreme Court tariff hearing, Riksbank...
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  • European bourses are on the backfoot; US equity futures mixed, with the NQ boosted by post-earning strength in AMZN +12.8 & AAPL +1.7%.
  • AMZN beat and boosted on strong cloud growth; AAPL strong results and predicts holiday boom in iPhone sales.
  • DXY remains firm post-FOMC. AUD lags post-Chinese PMI.
  • Commodities trade muted as crude awaits OPEC+ meeting.
  • Bonds are under modest pressure given the earnings-driven US...
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  • Further positive trade rhetoric from the US, mega-cap earnings in focus; AMZN +12.9% after-hours, AAPL +2.7%
  • European futures point to a slightly softer open, US futures rebounded from the Powell pressure amid earnings, NQ leads
  • DXY paused for breath, EUR/USD beneath 1.16, Antipodeans lackluster after a disappointing Chinese Manufacturing PMI
  • Fixed benchmarks subdued, weighed on in part by sizable Meta supply
  • Crude...
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  • Trump said the meeting with Xi was amazing & lots of decisions were made, he rated the meeting a 12/10; US-China agree 1-year trade truce.
  • European bourses are broadly lower, US equity futures are mixed; META -8.8%, MSFT -2.3%, GOOGL +6.9% post-earnings.
  • JPY struggles after BoJ kept rates steady and avoided any overt hawkish commentary; Ueda said no pre-set idea about timing of next rate hike. USD manages to hold onto post-FOMC...
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  • Fed cut by 25bps as expected, subject to 50bps and U/C dissent, announced it will end the balance sheet drawdown.
  • Chair Powell struck a hawkish tone around December, weighing on stocks, USTs & XAU while the USD benefited.
  • Trump said the meeting with Xi was amazing & lots of decisions were made, he rated the meeting a 12/10.
  • BoJ held rates, Takata & Tamura dissented, favouring a hike; support seen in JGBs afterwards as the...
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  • US President Trump said the meeting with Chinese President Xi will be three hours long before returning back to the US; says things will work out very well with Xi on Thursday.
  • European and US equity futures are mixed; NQ outperforms, boosted by NVIDIA as it nears USD 5tln market cap.
  • USD is firmer in the run-up to FOMC, AUD leads as hot CPI dashes RBA rate cut hopes.
  • Fixed income contained awaiting the FOMC, with a mild bearish bias...
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