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  • MON: Japanese Holiday: Culture Day. Eurogroup Meeting, EZ Manufacturing PMI Final (Oct), Sentix (Nov), US Employment Trends (Oct), Factory Orders (Sep), Australian Composite/Services PMI Final (Oct)
  • TUE: US Election. RBA Policy Announcement; BoC Minutes (Oct), RBNZ FSR; Chinese Caixin Services PMI Final (Oct), Swiss Unemployment (Oct), UK Composite/Services PMI Final (Oct), US Composite/Services PMI Final (Oct), ISM Services (Oct), New Zealand HLFS Unemployment (Q3), BoC...
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  • European bourses are entirely in the green alongside modest strength in US futures following post-earning strength in Amazon/Intel & ultimately outmuscling losses in Apple.
  • Dollar is firmer, CHF sinks after the region’s inflation data and JPY pares recent strength.
  • Gilts continue to underperform with benchmarks generally softer pre-Payrolls.
  • Crude is lower as risk-premium returns into the weekend though participants have NFP to navigate...
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  • APAC action mixed as Amazon and Apple diverge, China outperforms on further encouraging PMI data
  • DXY little changed around 104.00, USD/JPY found support at 152.00
  • Fixed benchmarks contained after recent marked Gilt-led pressure, awaiting US data
  • Crude underpinned on reports that Iran is preparing a major retaliatory strike from Iraq within days.
  • Looking ahead, highlights include US NFP, ISM Manufacturing PMI,...
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  • European bourses & US futures are entirely in the red; Tech lags stateside given META & MSFT while European banks slip
  • JPY leads post-BoJ with USD lower into PCE & weekly jobs, EUR unreactive to HICP while Cable nears 1.30
  • Gilts remains for sale though the morning's DMO auction went well, EGBs and USTs soft in tandem with yields bid and curves flattening
  • Crude ultimately firmer with two-way geopolitical updates factoring,...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly subdued following the negative handover from the US; participants also digested mixed Chinese PMIs.
  • BoJ kept rates unchanged as expected and refrained from any fresh policy clues.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a negative cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.5% after the cash market closed lower by 1.3% on Wednesday.
  • US equity futures (ES -0.5%, NQ -0.7%) were hampered by after-market earnings from...
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  • European bourses opened in negative territory and continued to trundle lower as the morning progressed, Tech lags post-AMD
  • Stateside, futures are firmer but only modestly so with Alphabet supporting as AI bolstered cloud performance
  • DXY briefly dipped below the 104.00 mark, EUR aided by hawkish-data while GBP awaits the budget
  • USTs continue to gain after Tuesday's 7yr into Refunding, Bunds weighed on by...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly lower after the mixed performance stateside and as participants braced for this week's key risk events.
  • Alphabet Inc (GOOGL) Q3 2024 (USD): Adj. EPS 2.12 (exp. 1.84), Revenue 88.27bln (exp. 86.31bln). Co. shares were higher by 5.9% after-hours.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a weaker cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.4% after the cash market closed lower by 0.4% on Tuesday.
  • DXY is steady on a 104...
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  • APAC stocks were ultimately mixed alongside a lack of fresh catalysts heading into this week's key data releases.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a marginally positive cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.1% after the cash market closed higher by 0.5% on Monday.
  • In FX, DXY is steady, JPY is attempting to claw back recent losses, antipodeans marginally lag, EUR/USD remains on a 1.08 handle.
  • The Israeli cabinet decided...
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  • European bourses are on a firmer footing, traders garnering optimism following the relatively moderate Israeli attack on Iran, which saw the former avoid hitting energy/nuclear facilities; US futures also benefit.
  • USD is mixed, losing vs EUR & GBP but significantly stronger vs JPY after the Japanese general election which has seen the ruling coalition lose its parliamentary majority.
  • Bonds are pressured by the removal of geopolitical risk premia, but have lifted...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly positive as markets digested key events over the weekend including Israel's strike on Iran and the Japanese election.
  • Israel's strike on Iran was aimed at military targets and not petroleum or nuclear facilities; Iran President said will respond.
  • Japan’s ruling coalition lost its parliamentary majority in Sunday’s election; the ruling party may seek partners in an effort to form a government.
  • European equity...
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  • SUN: Japanese LDP Election
  • MON: Japanese Jobs Report (Sep)
  • TUE: German GfK (Nov), US JOLTS (Oct)
  • WED: UK Budget, Australian CPI (Sep), Spanish Flash CPI (Oct), US ADP (Oct), German Flash GDP (Q3) and Prelim CPI (Oct), EZ Prelim GDP (Oct), US GDP Advance (Q3), Japanese Retail Sales (Sep)
  • THU: BoJ Announcement and Outlook Report, Chinese NBS PMI (Oct), French Flash CPI (Oct), EZ Flash CPI (Oct), US Quarterly...
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  • European bourses hold a slight positive tilt after initially opening on a modestly weaker footing; US futures are entirely in the green.
  • Dollar is flat ahead of Durable Goods, JPY was fairly unreactive to mixed Tokyo CPI.
  • USTs are flat but directionally in-fitting with the pressure seen in Bunds, sparked by strong German Ifo metrics.
  • Crude is very modestly firmer but ultimately within a contained range, XAU/base metals are...
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  • APAC stocks bolstered by the the Wall St. handover though with upside capped given ongoing geopolitical uncertainty
  • FX relatively contained with specifics light in overnight trade
  • Fixed benchmarks remained afloat, JGBs edged mild gains after mixed Tokyo CPI
  • Crude benchmarks attempted to nurse Thursday's losses, metals rangebound echoing FX
  • Looking ahead, highlights include EZ M3, German Ifo, US Durable Goods, UoM...
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  • European bourses are entirely in the green and reside just off session highs; US futures also gain, with NQ outperforming after strong TSLA (+10.7%) results.
  • Dollar is on the backfoot giving back some of this week’s gains, JPY outperforms with USD/JPY scaling back to a 151 handle.
  • USTs/Bunds are on a firmer footing, with EZ PMIs continuing to paint a dire picture in Europe; Gilts are the clear underperformer amid reports that Chancellor Reeves will announce major...
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  • APAC stocks traded cautiously following the losses stateside as participants digested earnings releases and negative stock-specific updates, while yields also continued to edge higher.
  • DXY has pulled back a touch from recent gains, EUR/USD lingers just below the 1.08 mark, USD/JPY sits on a 152 handle.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a contained cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.1% after the cash market closed lower by 0.3% on...
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  • European bourses are generally trading in negative territory; US futures follow suit, ahead of a busy earnings slate.
  • DXY continues to march higher, USD/JPY climbs back above 152 to a current 152.74 peak.
  • USTs are modestly lower ahead of 20yr supply; Bunds were unreactive to a well-received 10yr auction.
  • Crude is subdued and continues to await geopolitical updates; XAU is slightly higher whilst base metals are mostly in the...
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  • APAC stocks were ultimately mixed with the upside capped following the inconclusive performance on Wall St amid a lack of fresh macro drivers, recent upside in yields and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
  • ECB policymakers are beginning to debate whether rates will have to go below neutral level in the current easing cycle, according to sources cited by Reuters.
  • Israel’s army completed its preparations to attack Iran, and it seems that it will be within days, according...
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  • European bourses are entirely in negative territory, with initial outperformance in the DAX 40 (due to strong SAP results) now entirely erased; US futures are also lower.
  • Dollar is flat, Antipodeans outperform attempting to recoup some of its recent losses.
  • Bonds remain on the backfoot in a continuation of the pressure seen in the prior session
  • Crude was initially subdued, giving back some of the prior day’s gains; however, following two key...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed with participants somewhat cautious following the mostly negative bias stateside.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a slightly positive cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.1% after the cash market closed lower by 0.9% on Monday.
  • DXY is just below the 104 mark, antipodeans are looking to claw back recent losses, USD/JPY is north of the 150 level.
  • Fed's Daly (2024 voter) said she has not seen anything so...
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  • European bourses are generally trading in negative territory, but the FTSE 100 remains afloat owning to gains in Energy/Mining names; US futures are mixed.
  • Dollar is firmer, JPY underperforms with USD/JPY attempting to test 150 to the upside.
  • Bonds are entirely in the red, Bunds were initially lifted by soft German producer prices, but ultimately succumbed to selling pressure.
  • Crude climbs higher attempting to recoup some of the prior week’s...
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  • APAC stocks began the week mostly positive although gains were capped by the lack of fresh macro catalysts.
  • PBoC announced a 25bps cut to China's benchmark LPRs, as expected.
  • Israeli PM Netanyahu has said he is undeterred from his war aims following a reported drone attack on his private residence, via BBC.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a contained cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.1% after the cash market closed higher...
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  • MON: PBoC LPR
  • TUE: NBH Announcement, IMF World Economic Outlook
  • WED: BoC Announcement
  • THU: EZ/UK/US Flash PMIs (Oct)
  • FRI: PBoC MLF (TBC), CBR Announcement, Japanese Tokyo CPI (Oct), German Ifo (Oct), US Durable Goods (Sep), US University of Michigan Final (Oct)

PBOC LPR (MON): PBoC will announce the latest Loan Prime Rates next week in which Chinese banks are likely to reduce the...

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  • European bourses mixed/firmer given China tailwinds; NQ +0.5%, driven by NFLX +5%
  • USD is broadly softer vs peers, GBP outperforms after Retail data, Antipodeans benefit from China data & PBoC musings
  • Fixed benchmarks relatively contained, Gilts initially hit on data while EGBs & USTs attempt to move higher
  • Choppy trade for Crude into a weekend of potential geopolitical risk. Metals glean support from...
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  • APAC stocks followed suit to the mixed performance stateside as the region digested further support measures from the PBoC and a slew of Chinese data including mixed Q3 GDP, better-than-expected activity data, and a further decline in House Prices.
  • Chinese sentiment was eventually lifted after comments from PBoC Governor Pan who reiterated that they could cut RRR further this year and noted expectations for a 20bps-25bps reduction in the Loan Prime Rates on...
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  • European bourses trade mostly firmer but to varying degrees, with tech sentiment briefly lifted after strong TSMC results; US futures also gain.
  • The dollar is flat, AUD benefits from the stronger-than-expected jobs data, whilst the Loonie underperforms.
  • Bonds are on the backfoot and awaiting today’s key risk events which include US Retail Sales and the ECB Policy Announcement.
  • Crude oil is choppy and trading on either side of the unchanged...
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