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  • APAC stocks took their cues from the rally on Wall Street as the focus remained on US-China trade with some optimism following US President Trump's comments in which he stated that China has been respectful of them.
  • US President Trump continued to tout a November 1st deadline for additional tariffs, he also reaffirmed that he will be meeting with Chinese President Xi and thinks they will reach a 'fantastic deal'.
  • Japanese LDP leader Takaichi won the lower house vote...
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  • In China, PBoC maintained LPRs as expected, whilst Chinese GDP, Industrial Production and Retail Sales either matched or topped forecasts, and the CPC Central Committee is also holding a four-day closed-door meeting through to Thursday.
  • European bourses opened higher but are off best levels amidst ongoing AWS outages, recently Amazon said it is seeing signs of recovery; US equity futures are also higher.
  • DXY is flat/subdued in quiet trade, JPY digests Japanese...
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  • APAC stocks were higher amid tailwinds from recent trade-related rhetoric, including US President Trump's comments on Friday that 100% tariffs are not sustainable and that he will be meeting with Chinese President Xi.
  • Nikkei 225 surged to a fresh all-time high above the 49,000 level amid a reignition of the Takaichi trade with the LDP leader on track to become Japan's first female PM following an agreement to form a coalition with Japan's Innovation Party.
  • In China,...
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  • MON: PBoC LPR, CCP 4th Plenum (20th-23rd), Chinese House Prices (Sep), Retail Sales (Sep) & Industrial Output (Sep), German Producer Prices (Sep), US Leading Index (Sep), New Zealand Trade (Sep)
  • TUE: NBH Policy Announcement, CCP 4th Plenum (20th-23rd), UK PSNB (Sep), Canadian CPI (Sep)
  • WED: CCP 4th Plenum (20th-23rd); UK CPI (Sep), Japanese Trade Balance (Sep)
  • THU: CBRT, BOK Policy Announcement, CCP 4th Plenum (20th-23rd),...
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  • European and US equity futures are lower across the board, with the US regional banking fears weighing on sentiment; KRE -2% in pre-market trade.
  • DXY is a little lower; typical havens (JPY, CHF) benefit from the risk-tone whilst the Aussie lags.
  • Global fixed paper driven higher as traders remain wary on US regional banks.
  • Crude continues Thursday’s selling, XAU choppy amid debt concerns.
  • Looking ahead, Speakers...
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  • US stocks were pressured with risk-off trade seen amid a reignition of regional banking woes after Western Alliance (WAL) and Zion Bancorp (ZION) announced exposure to bad loans tied to fraud, adding to the concerns following the collapse of Tricolor and First Brands.
  • US KRE (Regional Banking ETF) closed lower by over 6% and the financial sector saw a near 3% hit, while the broad risk sentiment was hit with equities sliding throughout the US session.
  • APAC stocks...
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  • US President Trump said they are in a trade war with China, and if the US don't have tariffs, they don't have national security, while he stated that tariffs are a very important tool for defence.
  • European bourses are mostly higher, SMI bid post-Nestle results and NQ outperforms after strong Q3 TSMC earnings.
  • USD mixed vs. peers, GBP leads whilst AUD was pressured by a weak jobs report.
  • USTs are firmer, fleeting upside in OATs after PM...
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  • US President Trump said they are in a trade war with China, and if the US don't have tariffs, they don't have national security, while he stated that tariffs are a very important tool for defence.
  • The US Senate is set to leave for the week on Thursday and is nowhere near ending the shutdown, according to a journalist.
  • BoJ’s Tamura said the BoJ should push rates closer towards levels deemed neutral, but does not need to raise rates sharply or tighten monetary policy...
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  • European bourses are in the green; LVMH +14% & ASML +3.6% both gain post-earnings; US equity futures also rise.
  • USD losses extend into a second session, EUR remains underpinned by French optimism.
  • USTs incrementally firmer, OATs gain as traders digest the latest pension reform suspension.
  • XAU breaks USD 4200/oz, crude benchmarks muted amid heightened trade tensions.
  • Looking ahead, highlights include NY Fed...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly higher as expectations for incoming Fed rate cuts helped the region shrug off the mixed lead from Wall St.
  • Fed Chair Powell said downside risks to the US jobs market have risen and rising risks to the job market justified a September interest rate cut.
  • US President Trump announced he is considering terminating business with China regarding cooking oil.
  • European equity futures indicate a firm cash market open with...
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  • China's MOFCOM announced that it is taking countermeasures against five US-linked firms; said the US cannot have talks while threatening new restrictions.
  • French PM Lecornu's government is to present a budget aiming to reduce the deficit to 4.7% by end-2026, according to La Tribune.
  • Equities lower across the board, as markets digest the latest trade-related escalations by China on the US; traders also await a number of US earnings.
  • JPY...
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  • APAC stocks were mixed following the rebound on Wall St; Japan underperformed on return from holiday/reacted to the ruling coalition split.
  • China's MOFCOM announced that it is taking countermeasures against five US-linked firms; said the US cannot have talks while threatening new restrictions.
  • European equity futures indicate a mildly lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.7% on...
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  • US President Trump announced on Friday that the US is to impose a tariff of 100% on China beginning on November 1st, which will be over and above any tariffs that they are currently paying, while US export controls on critical software will also start on November 1st.
  • US President Trump posted on Sunday, “Don’t worry about China, it will all be fine! Highly respected President Xi just had a bad moment. He doesn’t want Depression for his country, and neither do I. The U.S.A. wants to help...
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  • MON: US Columbus Day, Canadian Thanksgiving, Japanese Holiday (Sports Day), OPEC MOMR, Chinese Trade Balance (Oct)
  • TUE: RBA Minutes (Sep), IEA OMR, UK Unemployment/Wages (Aug), German ZEW (Oct), US NFIB (Sep)
  • WED: Chinese CPI/PPI (Sep), EZ Industrial Production (Aug), US CPI (Sep), NY Fed Manufacturing (Oct)
  • THU: Australian Employment (Sep), UK GDP (Aug), EZ Trade Balance (Aug), US Weekly Claims, Philly Fed (Oct), PPI (Sep), Retail...
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  • China reportedly launched a customs crackdown on NVIDIA (NVDA) AI chips, according to FT; US President Trump said maybe they will have to stop importing massive amounts from China.
  • China's Transport Ministry announces plans to impose special port fees on US vessels; fees effective from 14th October.
  • BLS is preparing to release a September US CPI report despite the shutdown, according to the NYT. Bloomberg sources suggested staff have been recalled for the...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly lower following the negative handover from Wall Street.
  • China reportedly launched a customs crackdown on NVIDIA (NVDA) AI chips, according to FT; US President Trump said maybe they will have to stop importing massive amounts from China.
  • BLS is preparing to release a September US CPI report despite the shutdown, according to the NYT. Bloomberg sources suggested staff have been recalled for the preparation of the publication by the end of the...
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  • China’s government announced export controls on rare earth materials.
  • Hamas-Israel agreed to a Gaza ceasefire deal; conflicting reports whether the ceasefire is in effect, though the Israel Foreign Minister confirmed that it is.
  • European bourses are mixed whilst US equity futures trade around the unchanged mark.
  • DXY grinds higher amid continued NZD losses and a heavy GBP.
  • OATs outperform as the odds of fresh...
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  • APAC stocks were predominantly higher following the tech rebound stateside, where the S&P 500 and NDX notched fresh record levels.
  • Participants were encouraged by an agreement on the first phase of a Gaza ceasefire deal, and with Chinese traders returning from the National Day Golden Week holiday.
  • Israel's Channel 14 reported the Israel-Hamas ceasefire will come into effect today at 12:00 noon (10:00BST/05:00EDT), according to Al...
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  • EU sees new US trade demands hollowing out deal struck by US President Trump, according to Bloomberg citing sources.
  • European bourses are broadly firmer but with ASML (-1.7%) weighing on the AEX; US equity futures are modestly higher.
  • USD continues to rally, boosted by a weak JPY and NZD; the Kiwi is the clear underperformer after the RBNZ delivered a jumbo 50bps cut and left the door open for more rate reductions.
  • Global paper moves higher,...
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  • APAC stocks trade mixed with demand hampered following the negative handover from the US; European futures flat.
  • RBNZ cut rates by 50bps and kept the door open to further rate cuts.
  • US President Trump said a lot of things will be eliminated due to the shutdown, and he will tell us about the eliminated jobs in four or five days.
  • USD remains on the front foot, NZD lags post-RBNZ, JPY digests soft real cash earnings...
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  • Democrat and Republican bills to end the US government shutdown failed to secure sufficient votes for passage in the Senate, as expected.
  • Senior Hamas official Mahmoud Al-Mardaw said "President Trump's plan is mainly an Israeli plan", but emphasises that Hamas wants to end the war.
  • European bourses are choppy, trading on either side of the unchanged mark; US equity futures are flat/lower.
  • USD once again on the front foot despite ongoing...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed despite the tech-led advances on Wall St, with several holiday closures, Japanese stocks rallied again as the post-LDP election euphoria persisted.
  • Democrat and Republican bills to end the US government shutdown failed to secure sufficient votes for passage in the Senate, as expected.
  • European equity futures indicate an uneventful cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future flat after the cash market closed with losses of 0.4% on...
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  • Japan’s ruling LDP elected Sanae Takaichi as its leader, who is set to become Japan’s first female PM; Nikkei 225 +4.7%, JPY sinks.
  • European bourses opened modestly lower and then took a hit following French PM Lecornu's decision to resign; CAC 40 -1.6%. US equity futures are modestly firmer across the board.
  • USD has been boosted as JPY ponders looser fiscal/monetary mix and EUR hit by French political risk.
  • 10yr JGBs soared then faltered...
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  • APAC stocks began the week mixed amid several holiday closures throughout the week and the ongoing US government shutdown.
  • Nikkei 225 rallied, JPY fell and the JGB curve steepened amid hopes of fiscal loosening and a delay to BoJ policy normalisation following Sanae Takaichi's LDP leadership victory.
  • Crude futures gained after OPEC+ producers agreed to a modest production increase of 137k bpd in November.
  • Israel and Hamas are...
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  • SAT: Japanese LDP Leadership Election
  • SUN: OPEC+ Meeting
  • MON: EZ Construction PMI (Sep), Sentix (Oct), US Employment Trends (Sep), New Zealand NZIER (Q3)
  • TUE: EIA STEO; German Industrial Orders (Aug), US International Trade (Aug), Canadian Trade Balance (Aug), Ivey PMI (Sep), Chinese FX Reserves (Sep)
  • WED: RBNZ & NBP Policy Announcements, FOMC Minutes (Sep), BoJ's Ueda; Japanese Overtime Pay (Aug),...
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