• APAC stocks were mostly positive but with price action rangebound amid cautiousness as the debt limit deadline draws closer.
• President Biden said his discussion with House Speaker McCarthy on Sunday went well and they will talk again on Monday.
• Fed’s Kashkari (voter) said he is open to foregoing a June rate hike but would object to any kind of declaration that they are done lifting rates.
• European equity futures are indicative of a flat open...

Week Ahead May 22-26th

• SUN: Greek Elections
• MON: PBoC LPR Announcement
• TUE: BoK Announcement, EZ/UK/US Flash PMIs (May), US Richmond Fed (May)
• WED: FOMC Minutes, RBNZ Announcement, UK Inflation (Apr), German Ifo Survey (May)
• THU: CBRT Announcement, SARB Announcement, German GDP (Q1), GfK Consumer Sentiment (Jun), US GDP 2nd (Q1)/PCE Prices (Q1)
• FRI: Japanese...

• European bourses/US futures are firmer with fresh drivers limited and the focus firmly on Fed speak
• Debt ceiling reports indicate steady progress is being made, a view echoed by White House officials; Biden to leave G7 dinner early
• USD retreats from multi-weak peaks amid a Yuan revival to the benefit of G10s pre-Powell
• EGBs have seen two-way action but are holding off early German PPI-induced lows, USTs comparably more...

• APAC stocks were mostly higher following the tech-led gains on Wall St where the Nasdaq outperformed and the S&P 500 printed a 9-month high.
• US President Biden held a call with the debt ceiling negotiation team and his team said that steady progress is being made in talks.
• European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.4% after the cash market closed up 1.0% yesterday.
• DXY sits above the 103.50 mark...

• European bourses continue the positive Wall St/APAC action, with action slightly limited by Ascension Day
• Stateside, futures edge into the green but are largely continuing sideways action ahead of WMT and substantive debt updates
• DXY picks up to the detriment of peers as the Yuan falls further and AUD lags on jobs data
• EGBs descend further with yield levels in focus while USTs are more contained pre-data/Fed...

• APAC stocks were higher as the region took its cue from the momentum on Wall Street, although some of the gains were capped as participants digested soft data releases.
• US House Speaker McCarthy said he is optimistic about the ability to work together and said a debt ceiling deal by Sunday is doable.
• European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.7% after the cash market closed up 0.2% yesterday.
• DXY sits...

• European bourses & US futures are incrementally firmer in somewhat limited trade with corporate updates factoring and the focus on debt talks
• DAX 40 outperforms amid strength in Siemens & SAP; region follows mixed APAC trade, though Nikkei 225 surpassed 30k
• Overall, debt ceiling updates were slightly constructive, but the impasse does ultimately remain
• DXY briefly topped 103.00 as the Yuan continues to slip on soft data to the...

• APAC stocks were mixed with the region cautious after the weak handover from the US where risk appetite was clouded amid debt ceiling concerns.
• The meeting between Biden and congressional leaders achieved no major breakthroughs although was said to be productive and has set the stage to carry on further conversations.
• European equity futures are indicative of a flat open with the Euro Stoxx 50 unchanged after the cash market closed flat...

• European bourses are relatively contained, but off best after downbeat/mixed ZEW
• US futures spent the morning rangebound though have similarly dipped post-HD earnings, -4% pre-market
• President Biden is to meet McCarthy at 15:00ET/20:00BST, Yellen to speak beforehand
• DXY continues to retreat despite initial fleeting upside with G10s firmer, GBP picks up after weak labour data
• AUD, Yuan and base metals are dented by...

• APAC stocks traded mixed and only partially sustained the momentum from Wall St, while markets also digested weaker-than-expected Chinese activity data.
• US President Biden has scheduled a debt limit meeting with US House Speaker McCarthy on Tuesday at 15:00EDT/20:00BST.
• European equity futures are indicative of an uneventful open with the Euro Stoxx 50 unchanged after the cash market closed flat yesterday.
• DXY is steady below 102.50, EUR/USD...

• European bourses & US futures are firmer but with magnitudes modest amid limited specific newsflow
• DXY dips below 102.50 with its initial upside diminishing as peers are generally firmer ex-JPY while core debt drifts
• US President Biden said that debt ceiling talks are moving along and they will know more in the next couple of days about progress in discussions.
• SEK and TRY depreciate after soft inflation & inconclusive Turkish...

• APAC stocks traded mixed following the subdued performance last Friday on Wall St, while participants in the region brace for this week’s key economic releases.
• European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.1% after the cash market closed up 0.2% on Friday.
• DXY sits near Friday's highs, JPY lags the majors, antipodeans outperform, EUR/USD remains on a 1.08 handle.
• US President Biden said that...

• MON: Eurogroup Meeting, South Korean Trade Balance R (Apr), German Wholesale Prices (Apr), EZ Industrial Production (Mar).
• TUE: IEA OMR, Chinese Retail Sales (Apr)/Industrial Production (Apr), UK Labour Market Report (Mar/Apr), EZ Employment and GDP Flash (Q1), German ZEW (May), US Retail Sales (Apr), Canadian CPI (Apr), US Industrial Production (Apr).
• WED: Japanese GDP (Q1), Australian Wage Price Index (Q1), EZ CPI Final...

• European bourses are firmer though the region is set to end the week where it began, US futures modestly bid.
• DXY underpinned vs most G10s with USTs slightly softer and Fed's Bowman saying recent CPI and NFP reports do not provide persistent evidence of disinflation.
• EGBs have struggled for firm direction but are veering lower after hitting WTD peaks on Thursday.
• Crude has lifted off initial lows to trade flat with macro news limited as we...

• The meeting between US President Biden and congressional leaders was postponed to next week.
• US House Speaker McCarthy said postponing the debt ceiling meeting doesn't mean that debt talks have fallen apart.
• APAC stocks were mostly lower amid a busy slate of earnings releases and after the subdued performance stateside.
• European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.4% after the cash market closed...

• European bourses are firmer, but off best, with fresh drivers lacking after a busy pre-market ahead of the BoE
• Stateside, futures retain a positive bias but have been largely horizontal; DIS -5.5% after-earnings
• DXY lifts towards 102.00 with AUD lagging on Yuan/metals weakness after benign Chinese CPI/PPI
• Somewhat volatile EGB trade with Bunds bolstered by a 9k block but then slipping to lows with drivers slim
• Crude...

• APAC stocks traded mixed after the indecisive performance stateside where stocks whipsawed, while regional bourses also reflected on softer-than-expected Chinese inflation.
• European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.2% after the cash market closed down 0.4% yesterday.
• DXY lingers around 101.50 with price action in FX markets broadly contained, Cable maintains 1.26 status ahead of the BoE.
• Fed...

• European bourses/US futures are slightly softer as broader sentiment tilts after mixed APAC trade ahead of US CPI
• DXY remains bid with peers generally contained though EUR slips on less-hawkish ECB speak while GBP remains bid pre-BoE
• EGBs caught a bid to fresh session highs after well-received UK supply and ECB's Lagarde on APP/PEPP
• Overall, commodities are pressured and in-fitting with the above; focus on China-Australia re. Copper and the...

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Expectations are for the BoE to deliver a 25 basis points hike in the Base Rate to 4.5%, according to 55 out of 56 analysts surveyed by Reuters. Market pricing concurs, with 25 basis points priced at around 85%. Dovish dissent from Tenreyro and Dhingra is expected once again...

• APAC stocks were mostly lower as the region digested a slew of earnings updates and following the weak handover from Wall St.
• There was a lack of progress in debt limit negotiations although President Biden will meet with congressional leaders again this Friday.
• Fed's Williams said the FOMC will raise rates again if needed and he doesn't see any reason to cut rates this year.
• European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher...

• European bourses & US futures are softer as the region struggles for a foothold after mixed APAC trade and ahead of Fed/debt ceiling events
• USD picks up against peers ex-JPY as yields ease from best while AUD retreats after Chinese imports declined unexpectedly
• Yellen reiterates the Treasury could run out of cash as soon as June 1st, with the Bipartisan centre expecting the x-date between early-June to August
• Fixed benchmarks have been...

• APAC stocks were mixed following the indecisive performance on Wall St where the focus was on the Fed’s SLOOS
• The report showed that banks tightened credit terms and demand for loans declined.
• Chinese trade figures showed stronger-than-expected export growth but imports disappointed with a surprise contraction.
• European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.2% after the cash market closed up...

• European bourses are firmer across the board, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.1%, though trade has been very contained/steady with the UK away.
• Stateside, the narrative is much the same with futures flat ahead of key Fed-related events and the focus thus far on BRK.B and debt ceiling.
• Biden to meet McCarthy & others on Tuesday re. debt limit, via FT; said he would not rule out invoking the 14th amendment
• DXY is softer and edging towards 101.00 with...

• APAC stocks mostly gained as the region took impetus from Friday's rally on Wall St and strong US jobs data.
• Fed's Bullard (non-voter) said he thinks the Fed will ultimately have to grind higher on rates because of forecasts for a slower decline in inflation than others.
• US President Biden is to meet with House Speaker McCarthy and other top congressional leaders on Tuesday regarding the debt limit crisis, according to FT.
• European equity...

Week Ahead May 8-12th

• MON: UK Bank Holiday, EZ Sentix Index (May), German Final CPI (Apr), Fed SLOOS
• TUE: Riksbank Minutes, NBH Announcement, EIA STEO, Chinese Trade Balance (Apr)
• WED: Norwegian CPI (Apr), US CPI (Apr)
• THU: BoE Announcement, BoJ Summary of Opinions, OPEC MOMR, Chinese Inflation (Apr), US PPI (Apr)
• FRI: New Zealand Inflation Forecasts (Q2), UK GDP (Mar/Q1), French CPI...