24 Jun 2025, 11:35 by Newsquawk Desk
- Sentiment bolstered after US President Trump announced a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel, effective 05:00 BST / 00:00 EDT.
- Though Israel claimed Iran had launched ballistic missiles and violated the agreement, which Iran has denied.
- USD softer as geopolitical premium recedes, attention now turns to Fed Chair Powell who testifies before the House.
- Bonds hold a bearish bias given latest Iran-Israel ceasefire; USTs are lower by a...
24 Jun 2025, 06:50 by Newsquawk Desk
- Risk was supported on Wall Street following Iran's "symbolic" strike on a US base in Qatar—de-escalatory in nature, given the clear effort to minimise casualties and collateral damage.
- Sentiment was further bolstered at the resumption of futures trading after US President Trump announced a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel, effective 05:00 BST.
- Israeli strikes were continuous as markets headed into Iran's proposed ceasefire time (01:30 BST) vs Trump's...
23 Jun 2025, 11:20 by Newsquawk Desk
- US President Trump confirmed the launch of “Operation Midnight Hammer”, which involved targeted strikes on Iranʼs nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan.
- US President Trump warned that “many targets remain,” emphasising that the US had no desire for regime change but threatened larger future strikes if Iran failed to engage diplomatically.
- The Iranian parliament has approved the closure of the Strait of Hormuz after the US launched strikes against the...
23 Jun 2025, 06:45 by Newsquawk Desk
- US President Trump confirmed the launch of “Operation Midnight Hammer”, which involved targeted strikes on Iranʼs nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan.
- US President Trump warned that “many targets remain,” emphasising that the US had no desire for regime change but threatened larger future strikes if Iran failed to engage diplomatically.
- The Iranian parliament has approved the closure of the Strait of Hormuz after the US launched strikes against the...
20 Jun 2025, 12:54 by Newsquawk Desk
- MON: EZ/UK/US Flash PMIs (Jun).
- TUE: NBH Announcement, German Ifo (Jun), Canadian CPI (May), US Richmond Fed (Jun).
- WED: BoJ Summary of Opinions, CNB Announcement, PBoC MLF, Australian CPI (May).
- THU: Banxico Announcement, German GfK Consumer Sentiment (Jul), US Durable Goods (May), US GDP Final (Q1), US PCE Final (Q1).
- FRI: Japanese Tokyo CPI (Jun), UK GDP (Q1), French/Spanish Prelim CPI (Jun), EZ Sentiment...
20 Jun 2025, 11:20 by Newsquawk Desk
- US President Trump offered Iran a two-week window to monitor negotiations before deciding on military action.
- European stocks benefit from geopolitical optimism whilst US futures are slightly lower.
- DXY flat, JPY mildly boosted by Y/Y Core CPI beat.
- Two-way action for JGBs after reports suggest Japan plans to cut FY25 superlong JGB issuance by JPY 3.2tln, Gilts gap higher on retail sales but fade.
- Crude curtailed by...
20 Jun 2025, 06:55 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks initially saw directionless trade following a non-existent lead from Wall Street amid the Juneteenth market holiday.
- US President Trump offered Iran a two-week window to monitor negotiations before deciding on military action.
- APAC sentiment eventually turned mostly firmer with notable Israel-Iran newsflow on the lighter side.
- Japanese Core CPI printed above forecasts; PBoC maintained its 1-year LPR at 3.00% and its 5-year LPR at...
19 Jun 2025, 06:50 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks traded subdued following the mixed close on Wall Street, where traders juggled the FOMC alongside geopolitics, with markets apprehensive as US President Trump keeps participants in the dark about his touted move on Iran.
- The Federal Reserve left rates unchanged at 4.25-4.5%, as was widely expected, with the 2025 dot plot left unchanged although the composition saw a hawkish shift; Fed Chair Powell pushed back on any dovish interpretation of policy in the short...
18 Jun 2025, 11:20 by Newsquawk Desk
- Firing between Israel and Iran continued overnight. Iran used a hypersonic missile, while no attacks were seen from the US. Risk recovered and oil waned off highs.
- US officials signalled that the next 24 to 48 hours would be critical in determining whether a diplomatic solution with Iran is possible -- or if the president might resort to military action instead, according to ABC.
- European bourses tread water amid geopolitical updates and the looming FOMC rate...
18 Jun 2025, 06:45 by Newsquawk Desk
- Stocks in the US were spooked by what seemed like an imminent US involvement in Israel's offensive against Iran.
- Firing between Israel and Iran continued overnight. Iran used a hypersonic missile, while no attacks were seen from the US. Risk recovered and oil waned off highs.
- US officials signalled that the next 24 to 48 hours would be critical in determining whether a diplomatic solution with Iran is possible - or if the president might resort to military action...
17 Jun 2025, 11:40 by Newsquawk Desk
- US President Trump says he wants "a real end," with Iran "giving up entirely" on nukes”, via CBS’s Jacobs.
- US President Trump says the EU is not yet offering a fair deal, there is a chance of a deal with Japan but they are "tough". Pharma tariffs coming soon.
- Stocks hit as Iran-Israel strikes continue and Trump posts that "everyone" should evacuate Tehran.
- FX markets in narrow ranges awaiting US Retail Sales; incremental strength in JPY...
17 Jun 2025, 06:50 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks traded mixed/mostly lower with the region failing to coattail on Wall Street's gains, as geopolitical angst kept risk subdued.
- US President Trump posted that "Everyone should immediately evacuate Tehran!" before cutting his G7 trip short, stoking fears of a US military offensive. Sentiment later stabilised after CBS reported that the US is not joining Israel offensively in its military operations against Iran.
- BoJ maintained its rate at 0.5% as...
16 Jun 2025, 11:40 by Newsquawk Desk
- Israel and Iran launched fresh attacks on each other's major cities, with exchanges of fire continuing into a third day on Sunday, according to multiple media outlets; Initial strength in crude now pared amid potential ceasefire efforts but no progress yet.
- Israeli drones on Saturday targeted the South Pars Gas Refinery and the Fajr Jam Gas Refinery, according to Tasnim News Agency.
- US President Trump posted on Truth Social on Sunday: "Iran and Israel should make a...
16 Jun 2025, 06:45 by Newsquawk Desk
- Israel and Iran launched fresh attacks on each other's major cities, with exchanges of fire continuing into a third day on Sunday, according to multiple media outlets.
- Israeli drones on Saturday targeted the South Pars Gas Refinery and the Fajr Jam Gas Refinery, according to Tasnim News Agency.
- US President Trump posted on Truth Social on Sunday: "Iran and Israel should make a deal, and will make a deal, we will have PEACE, soon, between Israel and Iran! Many calls...
13 Jun 2025, 14:35 by Newsquawk Desk
- MON: OPEC MOMR, Chinese Activity Data (May), EZ Labour Costs (Q1),
- TUE: BoJ Announcement, IEA OMR, German ZEW Survey (Jun), US Retail Sales (May)
- WED: FOMC Announcement, Riksbank Announcement, Bank of Indonesia Announcement, BCB Announcement, UK Inflation (May), EZ Final CPI (May), New Zealand GDP (Q1)
- THU: BoE Announcement, SNB Announcement, Norges Bank Announcement, CBRT Announcement, Australian Jobs...
13 Jun 2025, 12:00 by Newsquawk Desk
- Israel conducted pre-emptive strikes on Iranian nuclear and military targets; Iran warned that Israel and the US will pay a heavy price.
- Iran's President to speak on the subject soon; US President Trump urged Iran to "make a deal, before there is nothing left".
- Geopolitics driving all price action with crude posting significant gains & equities under pressure; ES -1.2%, Euro Stoxx 50 -1.4%
- FTQ ensued overnight, supporting fixed income...
13 Jun 2025, 06:45 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks traded lower and US equity futures were pressured amid the worsening geopolitical situation in the Middle East.
- Israel conducted pre-emptive strikes on Iranian nuclear and military targets; Iran warned that Israel and the US will pay a heavy price.
- European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 1.9% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.6% on Thursday.
- DXY has been boosted by...
12 Jun 2025, 12:05 by Newsquawk Desk
- US President Trump said at a certain point, they will send letters out for countries to take or leave and will send those letters out in a week and a half.
- Geopolitics is driving newsflow as Iran was judged to have violated IAEA rules. An update which has sparked increasingly escalatory rhetoric.
- Given the above, equities are in the red with the DXY pressured and havens leading FX while EUR/USD hits a new YTD peak and XAU climbs.
- Crude...
12 Jun 2025, 07:00 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks traded mixed following the subdued handover from Wall St; Europe primed for a lower open (Eurostoxx 50 future -0.7%)
- US President Trump said he would be willing to extend the trade talks deadline but doesn't think it will be necessary
- US President Trump is planning to send letters in a week and a half for countries to take it or leave it regarding a trade deal.
- US evacuated non-emergency US government personnel from several...
11 Jun 2025, 11:55 by Newsquawk Desk
- US Commerce Secretary Lutnick said they have reached a framework to implement the Geneva consensus; will return to the US to see if Trump approves.
- Chinese Vice Commerce Minister Li Chenggang said the two sides reached a consensus regarding the Geneva meeting; will report on the framework to leaders.
- European bourses are firmer this morning, though with Retail lagging; Stateside, futures are just into the red into CPI.
- DXY choppy but...
11 Jun 2025, 06:00 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks were mostly higher amid the recent trade-related optimism stemming from the US-China trade talks in London which have now concluded.
- US Commerce Secretary Lutnick said they have reached a framework to implement the Geneva consensus; will return to the US to see if Trump approves.
- Chinese Vice Commerce Minister Li Chenggang said the two sides reached a consensus regarding the Geneva meeting; will report on the framework to...
10 Jun 2025, 11:20 by Newsquawk Desk
- US-China talks in London have commenced.
- US Commerce Secretary Lutnick says discussions with China are "going well"; talks to continue all day Tuesday.
- European stocks move lower ahead of US-China talks, FTSE 100 bid post-jobs data.
- GBP lags after jobs data which saw a slump in HMRC Payrolls and a further cooling in average earnings, USD ekes out mild gains.
- Gilts outperform as the UK labour market cools, USTs await...
10 Jun 2025, 06:55 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks traded mostly higher with risk sentiment underpinned amid some optimism surrounding US-China talks; to resume 10:00BST.
- US Treasury Secretary Bessent said it was a 'good meeting' with China, Commerce Secretary Lutnick said talks were "fruitful".
- European equity futures indicate a marginally negative cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.2% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.2% on Monday.
- USD is net positive...
09 Jun 2025, 11:15 by Newsquawk Desk
- US President Trump said they are very far advanced on a China deal ahead of high-level talks in London on Monday.
- US President Trump said he is thinking about the next Fed Chair and it is coming out very soon.
- European bourses are modestly lower in holiday-thinned trade; ES/NQ trade around the unchanged mark whilst the RTY outperforms.
- USD is on the backfoot, giving back some of Friday’s NFP induced gains, Antipodeans...
09 Jun 2025, 06:50 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks traded mostly higher following last Friday's gains on Wall St; participants also digested mixed Chinese data.
- Chinese Y/Y CPI remained in deflationary territory, trade data saw imports and exports fall short of expectations.
- US President Trump said they are very far advanced on a China deal ahead of high-level talks in London on Monday.
- US President Trump said he is thinking about the next Fed Chair and it is coming out very...