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  • European bourses/US futures are firmer but off highs after a cautious APAC handover following Chinese PMIs and before Tier 1 US data; ES +0.3%
  • Chinese Caixin PMI slipped into contractionary territory for the first time since April last year
  • The morning's OPEC related sources indicate that they will continue with current policy i.e. +400k BPD
  • DXY is downbeat with peers mixed as USD/JPY rises with UST yields, though these are off best...
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  • Asian stocks traded cautiously after further disappointing Chinese PMI data and a soft handover from the US
  • That said, losses on Wall Street were marginal and all major indices registered a seventh consecutive monthly gain for August
  • Chinese Caixin PMI slipped into contractionary territory for the first time since April last year
  • In FX, the DXY has pared some of its recent losses, EUR/USD has lost 1.18 status, havens...
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  • European bourses are firmer though are off post-EZ CPI highs, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.4%; US futures have pared overnight gains, ES +0.1%
  • Chinese Manufacturing PMI missed estimates, while Non-Manufacturing and Composite PMI both showed a contraction for the first time in 16 months
  • The DXY remains downbeat with peers bid across the board but NZD the main beneficiary taking impetus from AUD/NZD action
  • Core debt is depressed with pressure exacerbated...
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  • The S&P 500 and Nasdaq extended on record highs led by growth and tech
  • Asian equity markets traded cautiously as participants digested disappointing Chinese PMI data
  • Chinese Manufacturing PMI missed estimates, while Non-Manufacturing and Composite PMI both showed a contraction for the first time in 16 months
  • The DXY remains subdued just above 92.50, EUR/USD has traded on either side of 1.18, NZD outperforms after reclaiming...
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  • European equity bourses and US futures are modestly firmer but near unchanged levels in minimal newsflow; ES +0.1%, RTY +0.3%
  • USD is bid but the index remains sub-93.00 as antipodeans and CHF take the brunt of the downside while core debt is marginally firmer
  • China has unveiled new restrictions on young people playing online games, Xinhua; separately, China is said to ask brokers to increase supervision of margin trading
  • Oil producers in the...
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  • MON: UK Holiday (Summer Bank Holiday); German Flash CPI (Aug); EZ Sentiment Survey (Aug)
  • TUE: OPEC+ JTC Meeting; Chinese Official PMIs (Aug); EZ Flash CPI (Aug); Canadian GDP (Q2)
  • WED: OPEC+ Meetings, Australian GDP (Q2); Chinese Caixin Manufacturing Final PMI (Aug); German Retail Sales (Jul); EZ, UK, US Manufacturing PMI Final (Aug); US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug)
  • THU: EZ PPI (Aug); US Challenger Layoffs (Aug); US Durable Goods R...
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  • Asia-Pac stocks were mostly positive with the region mildly taking impetus from last Friday's gains on Wall St
  • The S&P 500 and Nasdaq extended on record highs post-Powell
  • In FX, the DXY remains softer and sub-93.00, EUR/USD has reclaimed 1.18 status
  • The SPD has continued to make further gains in the latest polling data with Scholz coming out on top in the latest debate
  • Oil producers in the Gulf of Mexico shut in...
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  • European bourses are little changed while US futures have a marginal upward bias in limited newsflow pre-Powell
  • Fed speak via just Bostic thus far, who stuck to his familiar 'hawkish' language around a taper
  • The DXY straddles 93.00 and is marginally softer with peers contained; core debt is slightly softer but well within proximity to the U/C mark
  • Further reports note that Biden is expected to reappoint Powell as Fed Chair whilst Brainard...
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  • Asia-Pac bourses traded mixed although have shown an improvement compared to the losses in global counterparts
  • Losses in the US came in the context of recent hawkish Fed rhetoric ahead of Powell and events in Afghanistan
  • The DXY straddled 93.00 amid a non-committal tone and contained price action in the FX space
  • Further reports note that Biden is expected to reappoint Powell as Fed Chair whilst Brainard could be appointed as...
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  • European bourses are softer across the board with US futures also pressured albeit to a lesser extent, ES -0.1%
  • DXY is firmer but capped by 93.00 with peers subdued across the board while debt continues to pullback but has stabilised slightly most recently
  • Fresh newsflow has been sparse and largely on geopols/COVID-19 boosters and as such not moving the macro dial
  • The BoK became the first major Asian central bank to hike rates since the...
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  • Asia-Pac stocks traded cautiously amid a deluge of earnings releases and as markets await Jackson Hole
  • US equity futures trickled lower overnight following another consecutive day of record highs on Wall St
  • The BoK became the first major Asian central bank to hike rates since the pandemic began
  • In FX, the DXY remains lacklustre beneath 93.00, EUR/USD and GBP/USD remain steady on 1.17 and 1.37 handles...
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  • European equity bourses/US futures are essentially unchanged amid minimal newsflow in the European morning; ES +0.1%
  • The DXY has been choppy within ranges and currently sub-93.00 with peers mixed but near-unchanged; debt is downbeat after earlier upside fizzled out in EGBs
  • US VP Harris suggested that the US needs to increase pressure on Beijing and challenge its bullying
  • The House voted to approve the USD 3.5tln budget blueprint and advance...
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  • Asian stocks traded somewhat mixed and failed to fully sustain the early momentum from the US
  • The S&P 500 and Nasdaq extended on record highs amid notable strength in cyclicals
  • US VP Harris suggested that the US needs to increase pressure on Beijing and challenge its bullying
  • The House voted to approve the USD 3.5tln budget blueprint and advance the USD 1tln infrastructure bill
  • The DXY heads into the European...
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  • US equity futures are firmer off-best levels, with NQ modestly outperforming while European bourses are mixed/lower after a firmer start
  • In FX, the DXY trades above 93.000, EUR/USD encountered resistance ahead of 1.1750 while Cable briefly lost 1.37 and antipodeans outperform
  • RBNZ's Hawkesby said the RBNZ considered raising the OCR by 50bps at the recent meeting; decided to hold rates due to a communications challenge not economic risks.
  • US...
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  • Asia-Pac stocks sustained the momentum from Wall St; US equity futures traded sideways overnight
  • In FX, the DXY traded on either side of 93.000, EUR/USD encountered resistance ahead of 1.1750, and antipodeans outperformed
  • Chinese President Xi Jinping may not attend the G20 summit in Rome at the end of October which would delay a potential meeting with President Biden
  • US VP Harris said China's actions in the South China Sea continue to...
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  • European bourses are firmer but off-highs, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.3%; US futures have been steady and contained with the RTY outperforming
  • DXY is pressured as activity-FX rebounds from last week's declines, whilst havens lag
  • Flash PMIs were mixed but overall below forecasts - reactions were minimal
  • The Fed’s Jackson Hole Symposium is shifting to a virtual event from the initial in-person format; schedule release August 26th at...
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  • MON: Bank of Israel Policy Decision; UK, EZ and US Flash PMIs (Aug); New Zealand Retail Sales (Jul)
  • TUE: NBH Policy Decision; New Zealand Trade Balance (Jul)
  • WED: German Ifo Survey (Aug); US Durable Goods (Jul)
  • THU: Fed Jackson Hole Symposium (26th - 28th), Australian Retail Sales (Aug), BoK Policy Decision; German GfK Consumer Sentiment (Sep); US GDP 2nd (Q2).
  • FRI: Fed Jackson Hole Symposium (26th - 28th),...
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  • Asia-Pac bourses were firmer throughout the night; US equity futures also drifted higher
  • In FX, the DXY marginally pulled back from recent gains, high-betas outperformed, and havens lagged
  • The Fed’s Jackson Hole Symposium is shifting to a virtual event from the initial in-person format
  • Fed's Kaplan (2023 voter) stated if they saw that the Delta variant would be persistent or start to affect demand, they would have to adjust...
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  • Risk sentiment is slightly softer but performance overall is contained, ES -0.2%, amid limited newsflow
  • DXY is firmer and remains above 93.50, with activity currencies lagging and safe-havens marginally positive once again
  • China's legislature passed the Personal Information Protection Law
  • Fed Chair Powell is to speak on 'The Economic Outlook' at the Jackson Hole Symposium on August 27th at 15:00BST/10:00EDT
  • Looking...
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  • The mood in Asia was mostly subdued following on from the losses in European bourses and indecision stateside
  • Energy was the worst-performing US sector once again as oil retreated for a 6th consecutive day and cyclicals lagged
  • China's legislature passed the Personal Information Protection Law
  • In FX, the DXY remains firm above 93.50, EUR/USD and GBP/USD remain on 1.16 and 1.36 handles respectively
  • Looking ahead,...
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  • Sentiment is firmly risk-off with European equity bourses and US futures pressured ES -0.6%, with USD, safe-haven FX and debt bid
  • Fresh newsflow has been minimal and action a continuation of APAC weakness post-FOMC Minutes after a downbeat US close
  • DXY is firmer but off 93.502 highs as activity/petro-FX slumps but JPY and CHF hold onto marginal gains; USTs outpace EGBs both both are bid
  • Base metals are significantly hampered, LME Copper sub...
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  • FOMC minutes suggested that participants generally judge that the standard of "substantial further progress" had not yet been met
  • Most judged that it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year
  • Stocks across Asia succumbed to the weakness seen across US peers with global risk sentiment pressured post-FOMC minutes
  • Hang Seng Tech Index declined to its lowest since its launch last year. Alibaba’s Hong Kong...
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  • European equities (Eurostoxx 50 -0.3%) trade with a mild negative bias with sectors mixed; US futures essentially flat
  • The RBNZ kept rates unchanged at 0.25%; cited lockdown and uncertainty
  • DXY is contained holding above 93.00 with peers equally contained ex-NZD post RBNZ; USTs are flat after APAC pressure pre-20yr supply & Fed events
  • Fed's Rosengren supports a taper announcement next month for a start this fall and get on track to halt...
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  • Asia-Pac bourses gradually improved and managed to shrug off the early cautiousness stemming from the weak Wall St. handover
  • The RBNZ kept rates unchanged at 0.25%; cited lockdown and uncertainty
  • NZD recovered from initial losses with the RBNZ projecting a hike by year-end and another 100bps of increases in 2022
  • The DXY, remains above 93.00, EUR/USD eyes 1.17 to the downside, JPY & CHF modestly lags vs. the...
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  • European equities/US futures are hindered as sentiment slips on China updates and NZ returning to lockdown; ES -0.5%
  • DXY is firmer but within ranges as safe-haven's remain little changed but antipodeans lag, particularly NZD pre-RBNZ on updated calls; core debt is bid but off best
  • China's market regulator issued draft regulations on banning unfair competition in the internet sector
  • Fed's Rosengren would be supportive of announcing a taper...
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