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  • Equities drifted at the European cash open but catalysts were slim and performance has been rangebound; most recently, US futures have returned to near unchanged levels
  • Crude is pressured given source reports that Russia is considering proposing an increase in OPEC+ oil production at the July 1st meeting; with subsequent reports adding to this
  • FX has been relatively contained with the DXY firmer to the detriment of peers while core debt picks up but is in recent...
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  • Asia-Pac equities staged a rebound from the prior day's sell-off; Nikkei outperformed and the Hang Seng lagged
  • US equity futures traded flat and near the prior session’s best levels; US 10yr cash yield probed 1.50% overnight
  • FX was quiet, DXY hovers around 92, EUR/USD and GBP/USD found support at 1.1900 and 1.3900; USD/JPY drifted higher towards 110.50
  • Fed Chair Powell's prepared testimony to Congress reiterated recent...
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  • US futures are firmer, ES +0.5%, after bouncing from overnight pressure as APAC players reacted to Friday's hawkish Fed remarks; Euro Stoxx 50 +0.4%
  • FX has been choppy though the DXY is ultimately subdued but still holds 92.00 to the benefit of peers across the board
  • Core debt remains firmer though nearing the U/C mark as sentiment improves with yields now only marginally lower after dipping below 1.40% and 2.00% overnight for the 10 & 30yr...
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MON: PBoC LPR Announcement

TUE: US Richmond Fed Survey (Jun); NBH Policy Decision

WED: EZ, UK and US Markit Flash PMIs (Jun); Canadian Retail Sales (Apr); CNB & Thai Policy Decisions, SNB Quarterly Bulletin (Q2)

THU: BoE Policy Decision; German Ifo Survey (Jun); US Durable Goods (May), GDP and PCE Prices Finals (Q1); New Zealand Trade Balance (May); Banxico Policy Decisions, CBRT Minutes (June), Canadian Provincial Holiday (St John...

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  • A risk-off tone was seen overnight. Nikkei 225 lost the 28k level but Mainland China bucked the trend
  • US equity futures drifted lower overnight in which the NQ and YM declined under 14k and 33k respectively
  • Yields continued to pull back; the US 10yr and 30yr cash yields dipped below 1.40% and 2.00% respectively
  • In FX, the DXY was choppy but remained firm, EUR/USD traded sub-1.1900, JPY and Antipodeans...
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  • European bourses are modestly pressured, Euro Stoxx 50 -0.3%, amid a relatively quiet session featuring banks & energy names as the laggards; ES -0.1%
  • The DXY remains elevated though failed to retain 92.00 as US yields pulledback, with FX peers pressured and energy-exposed FX lagging
  • BoJ maintained policy settings as expected and extended pandemic relief measures by six months
  • NHC issued a tropical storm watch for the Mexican Coast and...
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  • Asian equities were sluggish following the mixed lead from Wall Street where the NDX posted a fresh record high
  • White House National Security Adviser Sullivan said they are considering a call between US President Biden and Chinese President Xi
  • BoJ maintained policy settings as expected and extended pandemic relief measures by six months
  • In FX, the DXY eyes 92.00 to the upside as EUR/USD and GBP/USD lost 1.19 and 1.39 status...
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  • Equities remain subdued post-FOMC with pressure exacerbated on base-metal prices while banks are the clear outperformers; ES -0.3%, Euro Stoxx 50 -0.2%
  • The USD remains supported surpassing/testing mid-April highs sub-92.00 with peers pressured across the board; SNB and Norges Bank were largely as expected
  • US bipartisan group of around 20 Senators said they support an infrastructure investment framework without raising taxes and looks forward to developing...
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  • Fed kept rates and QE unchanged as expected but caught markets off guard with hawkish Fed dot plots
  • Fed raised IOER to 15bps (prev. 10bps) and hiked RRP rate to 5bps from 0bps
  • The DXY surged above 91.00, EUR/USD and GBP/USD lost 1.20 and 1.40 handles respectively
  • Asian equity markets traded mostly lower with risk appetite subdued in reaction to the FOMC
  • US President Biden warned Russian President Biden against...
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  • Equities are contained pre-FOMC, though we have picked up a touch as US participants arrive; ES +0.1%; Euro Stoxx 50 +0.3%
  • China said it will release national reserves of copper, aluminium and zinc and ordered state firms to curb overseas commodities exposure
  • The USD is lower given inflation-induced GBP strength while core debt has bounced slightly but conviction remains slim
  • Oracle is pressured in the pre-market post earnings where its EPS...
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  • Asian equity markets were subdued following the losses on Wall St; US equity futures traded flat overnight
  • In FX, the DXY was rangebound, EUR/USD remained above 1.2100, Cable traded under 1.4100 and USD/JPY held onto 110.00
  • The US is considering establishing a permanent naval task force in the Pacific region as a counter to China’s growing military strength, sources stated
  • China said it will release national reserves of copper, aluminium and...
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  • European equities now see more of a mixed picture whilst US equity futures move sideways, with the ES and NQ just off ATHs
  • In FX, the DXY traded on either side of 90.50, GBP/USD lost 1.4100 status whilst USD/TRY extended gains above 8.5000
  • Copper prices plumb the depths upon China's return with speculation of the release of state copper reserves
  • EU and US have reached a deal to resolve the Boeing (BA)/ Airbus (AIR FP) dispute, whilst the UK...
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  • Asia-Pac bourses were mixed as the positive bias from Wall St was offset after Chinese markets returned from the extended weekend
  • UK PM Johnson confirmed a delay to the removal of further restrictions in England for four weeks until July 19th
  • In FX, the DXY consolidated around 90.50, EUR/USD little changed on a 1.21 handle and GBP/USD tested 1.41 to the downside
  • EU and US are set to resolve the Boeing (BA) - Airbus (AIR FP) dispute over...
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  • European bourses are firmer but off highs after a holiday-thinned APAC handover; US equity futures meanwhile trade sideways
  • DXY trades around 90.50 in a tight range, with peers somewhat mixed and GBP underperforming and NZD outperforming
  • The White House said the G7 agreed to a new global infrastructure initiative named the Build Back Better World or B3W to rival China’s Belt & Road initiative
  • UK government approves a four-week delay to...
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  • MON: EZ Industrial Production (Apr); Hong Kong and China Holidays (Tuen Ng Day/Dragon Boat Festival).
  • TUE: Germany CPI Final (May); UK Jobs Report (Apr/May); US PPI (May) and Retail Sales (May); RBA Minutes (June).
  • WED: FOMC Policy Decision; Japanese Trade Balance (May); Chinese Retail Sales (May) and Industrial Production (May); UK Inflation (May); Canadian CPI (May); New Zealand GDP (Q1); BCB Policy Decision, US President Biden and Russian President Putin...
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  • Asian equity markets began the week quiet amid holiday-thinned conditions with the absence of key markets; US equity futures traded flat with a mild upside bias
  • In FX, DXY remained above 90.50; EUR/USD printed on either side of 1.2100; GBP/USD tested 1.4100 to the downside
  • White House said the G7 agreed to a new global infrastructure initiative named the Build Back Better World or B3W to rival China’s Belt & Road initiative
  • UK government...
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  • European bourses began tentative but have picked up modestly as the session progressed, while US futures pivot the U/C mark
  • Basic resource names outperform given base metals overnight while banks lag on the ongoing yield pullback and crude remains supported
  • DXY remains bid but off the weekly high with peers lower across the G10 board but magnitudes relatively slim
  • UK PM Johnson is said to mull a four-week postponement before ending COVID-19...
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  • Asian equity markets traded mixed as the region only partially benefitted from the momentum in the US
  • In FX, DXY traded in a tight range on either side of 90.00, EUR/USD and GBP/USD remained sub-1.2200 and below 1.4200 respectively
  • ECB sources said three policymakers wanted to cut PEPP purchases; some differed on bond-buying needs in thin summer markets
  • UK PM Johnson is said to mull a four-week postponement before ending COVID-19...
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  • European bourses are mixed/flat ahead of US CPI and the ECB while US futures are marginally diverging as the NQ modestly lags on firmer yields
  • The USD is firmer with peers mixed but contained while fixed income modestly pares recent upside and the US 10yr yield back to 1.50%
  • US and Chinese commerce chiefs reportedly agreed to push forward with trade and investment ties; supporting APAC trade
  • A bipartisan House group unveiled an 8-year...
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  • Asian equity markets traded higher as US-China dialogue helped the region shrug off early cautiousness
  • US and Chinese commerce chiefs reportedly agreed to push forward with trade and investment ties
  • The DXY maintains 90.00 status, EUR/USD sits on a 1.21 handle and GBP/USD eyes 1.41 to the downside
  • A bipartisan House group unveiled an 8-year package valued at USD 1.25tln which would avoid corporate and income tax...
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  • European bourses are mixed/flat in a relatively quiet EU session while US futures have been unmoved for the morning
  • Chinese CPI missed forecasts while PPI continued to surge and registered the fastest pace of increase in factory gate prices since 2008
  • Talks between US President Biden and Senator Capito have officially ended with Biden moving onto talks with a bipartisan group of senators
  • DXY is sub-90 with peers firmer across the board and...
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  • Asian equities traded mixed with price action confined to relatively tight ranges
  • Chinese CPI missed forecasts while PPI continued to surge and registered the fastest pace of increase in factory gate prices since 2008
  • Talks between US President Biden and Senator Capito have officially ended with Biden moving onto talks with a bipartisan group of senators
  • In FX, the DXY holds on to 90.00 status, EUR/USD and GBP/USD trade on 1.21 and 1.41...
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  • European cash and US equity future remain contained overall though were fleetingly pressured on multiple website outages globally with Fastly possible the cause; newsflow which lifted core debt to fresh highs
  • In FX, DXY gains a firmer footing above 90.00; GBP and JPY lag whilst the NOK was lifted on the Norges Bank Survey
  • US is reportedly planning trade talks with Taiwan; China is said to be moving ahead and making progress on legislation to counter US...
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  • Asian equity markets lacked direction following a similar indecisive performance on Wall Street
  • In FX, the DXY holds on to 90.00, EUR/USD remains sub-1.22 and GBP/USD retreats further
  • Reports suggest that the UK's June 21st reopening plans could be delayed by two weeks
  • US Republican Senator Capito was said to not sound too optimistic about talks with President Biden ahead of today’s meeting
  • Looking ahead, highlights...
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  • European bourses are contained in tentative and quiet trade during ECB & Fed blackout periods while US futures are faring marginally worse; ES -0.2%
  • The DXY is essentially unchanged with peers somewhat mixed while core debt errs lower and yields are raised but still sub pre-NFP levels
  • President Biden rejected the Republican infrastructure proposal although still plans to meet with Republican Senator Capito today
  • Treasury Secretary Yellen...
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