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  • European bourses are firmer but off highs (Stoxx 50 +0.6%) with fundamental newsflow light and focus on Pelosi’s stimulus deadline; ES +0.7%
  • House Speaker Pelosi said she is optimistic on a COVID-19 relief bill before the election. Pelosi gave a 48-hour deadline to the Trump admin
  • Chinese Q3 GDP missed Exp. but activity measures topped forecasts
  • Chinese government officials are warning the US they may detain US nationals in China in retaliation to the Justice Department’s prosecution of...
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  • APAC stocks traded mostly higher; but gains in Mainland China waned post-GDP
  • House Speaker Pelosi said she is optimistic on a COVID-19 relief bill before the election. Pelosi gave a 48-hour deadline to the Trump admin
  • Chinese government officials are warning the US they may detain US nationals in China in retaliation to the Justice Department’s prosecution of military-linked Chinese scholars, sources said
  • UK officials are reportedly...
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  • European bourses are firmer this morning, Stoxx 50 +1.0%, seemingly in a pick-up from yesterday’s performance as newsflow remains light; ES +0.1%
  • WHO trial indicates Gilead's remdesivir appeared to have little or no effect on 28-day mortality or in-hospital course of COVID-19 patients
  • Pfizer (PFE) could be ready to apply for emergency use authorisation for its COVID-19 vaccine by late-November, WSJ
  • The EU is reportedly considering making a more explicit link between energy & fish in Brexit...
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  • Asia-Pac equities traded mostly lower following on from another downbeat handover from Wall Street
  • WHO trial indicates Gilead's remdesivir appeared to have little or no effect on 28-day mortality or in-hospital course of COVID-19 patients
  • In FX, DXY was uneventful, holding onto the prior day’s gains, EUR/USD hovers above 1.17 and GBP/USD trades sub 1.29
  • Mills in China are reportedly being told to stop buying Australian cotton. Government sources said the cotton industry could face tariffs as high as...
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  • European bourses are suppressed as risk-off reigns amid rising COVID-19 cases and renewed lockdown restrictions in major European cities; Dax Dec’20 -3.0%, ES -1.1%
  • US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin said the Trump administration will keep trying to get a deal on COVID-19 relief, stating that President Trump told him to keep at it to secure a deal
  • Brexit language has reportedly been toughened in the latest EU summit draft document; EU leaders are set to authorise a continuation of negotiations
  • FX...
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  • APAC equity markets traded mostly lower; ASX 200 bucked the trend whilst Hang Seng lagged
  • US sanctions have been imposed on Hong Kong Chief Executive Carrie Lam, according to a statement on the US Treasury's website
  • A US battleship crossed the Taiwan Strait on Wednesday, the US Navy said; China said it will resolutely defend territorial integrity
  • Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, after speaking with House Speaker Pelosi, said stimulus talks are still far apart and it is difficult to get anything done...
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  • European bourses are modestly softer this morning with downside emanating as we approach US hours; ES -0.2%, below 3500
  • GBP took fleeting impetus from reports the UK will not immediately walk away from Brexit talks with the PM said to decide the path on Friday
  • IEA monthly oil market report left 2020 & 2021 demand forecasts broadly unchanged; a release which seemingly sparked modest crude support, albeit short-lived
  • Looking ahead, highlights include ECB's Lane & Mersch, Fed's Clarida &...
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  • APAC stocks traded with little in the way of conviction and within tight ranges following a downbeat Wall Street handover
  • Eli Lilly's (LLY) trial of its coronavirus antibody treatment has been paused over safety concerns
  • Senate Majority Leader McConnell said he will table a stimulus proposal for USD 500bln next week; House Speaker Pelosi reportedly said she has no intention to meet McConnell in the middle
  • BoK and MAS left policy settings unchanged as expected
  • Looking ahead, highlights...
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  • European bourses are subdued in a scaling back of yesterday’s gains with similar performance in ES & Dow but Nasdaq outperforms +0.7%
  • Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) COVID-19 study paused due to unexplained illness in a participant
  • White House has reportedly asked Congress to approve three separate arms packages to Taiwan; sparking pushback from China
  • Chinese Customs spokesman said they are paying attention to the impact of the USD/CNY fluctuations
  • FX features a firmer but rangebound USD to...
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  • APAC markets traded mixed; Australia outperformed, Hong Kong trade was cancelled
  • Johnson & Johnson confirmed they have paused all dosing in Janssen COVID-19 vaccine candidate trials due to an unexplained illness
  • Chinese Customs spokesman said they are paying attention to the impact of USD/CNY fluctuations
  • White House has reportedly asked Congress to approve three separate arms packages to Taiwan
  • In FX, DXY was firmer, EUR/USD dipped below 1.1800, AUD underperformed, USD/CNH rose above...
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  • European bourses/US futures have been choppy but ultimately exhibit modest gains this morning; ES +0.3%
  • US House Speaker Pelosi said we remain at an impasse in COVID-19 aid talks; Mnuchin and Meadows have called for immediate use of remaining PPP funds
  • President Trump states he no longer has COVID-19 and has requested his campaign places him on the road every day from now while the 15th Oct debate has been cancelled
  • EU leaders are to insist on tough enforcement for any UK trade deal; UK PM Johnson...
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  • MON: --
  • TUE: Bank of Indonesia Monetary Policy Decision; UK Labour Market Report (Aug); German ZEW Survey (Oct); US CPI (Sep); OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report
  • WED: BoK Monetary Policy Decision; Singapore MAS, IEA Oil Market Report
  • THU: UK's de-facto deadline for UK-EU deal; European Council Summit (Day 1); US Second Presidential Debate; Australian Labour Force Report (Sep); Chinese Inflation (Sep); OPEC+ JTC...
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  • APAC equity markets kicked the week off mixed; Chinese markets outperformed, Nikkei lagged
  • PBoC lowered its RRR on FX forwards for financial institutions to 0% from 20% starting today
  • US House Speaker Pelosi said we remain at an impasse in COVID-19 aid talks; Trump admin has called on Congress to pass a stripped-down version of the relief bill
  • EU leaders are said to be drawing up a “hit list” of up to 20 large-cap tech companies; EU has asked US to withdraw punitive tariffs or prepare for additional...
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  • US futures are firmer given overnight stimulus comments and deriving further strength as US participants approach
  • Speaker Pelosi & Treasury Secretary Mnuchin spoke again while Trump is reportedly open to more than a skinny bill
  • President was concerned by the market reaction to him walking away from stimulus discussions
  • UK Chancellor Sunak to announce a new job-support scheme; separately, EU diplomats believe Brexit talks are yet to make enough progress
  • FX features a downbeat DXY at fresh...
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  • Asian equity markets traded mixed but with a mildly positive bias as US equity futures extended on the prior day’s gains
  • President Trump noted optimism that stimulus talks are beginning to work and was said to be open to something larger than a skinny bill
  • President Trump was said to be worried about the stock market reaction from the decision to walk away from stimulus
  • In FX, the DXY was lacklustre below 93.50, EUR/USD trades firmer and GBP/USD sits above 1.2950
  • RBI maintained the...
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  • European bourses & US futures are firmer in choppy trade amidst limited new fundamental catalysts
  • US Vice Presidential debate saw Harris & Pence exchange blows in an attempt to discredit the records of both Presidential candidates; CNN poll shows Harris winning the debate
  • FX is relatively rangebound with a choppy DXY meandering the U/C mark at present as antipodeans outperform
  • In terms of fixed income, USTs are exhibiting mild flattening in contrast to the steepening action seen throughout...
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  • Asian equity markets traded mostly positive as the region took its cue from the rebound in the US
  • FOMC minutes provided little in the way of fresh information with no greater clarity on how far the Fed would permit inflation to overshoot its target
  • In FX markets, the DXY is modestly softer, but above 93.50, EUR/USD is little changed and GBP/USD extended gains above 1.2900
  • The US Vice Presidential debate saw Harris and Pence exchange blows in...
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  • European bourses are modestly softer while US futures recuperate after Trump’s stimulus update yesterday
  • Trump says he is ready to immediately sign a standalone stimulus check bill
  • US House Democrats stated that Facebook (FB), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), Apple (AAPL) enjoy ‘monopoly power’ and recommended big changes
  • FX features a downbeat DXY to the modest benefit of peers (ex-safe havens)
  • Treasuries have reverted back to the week’s steepening narrative ahead of 10-year issuance and...
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  • Asian equities traded mixed as the region partially shrugged off the negative mood which initially rolled over from Wall St
  • US stocks slumped after US President Trump announced that he is to walk away from COVID relief talks until after the election
  • US President Trump instructed Senate Majority Leader McConnell not to delay and focus full-time on approving Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court
  • In FX markets, the DXY remained elevated...
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  • European bourses & US futures are modestly softer in a rangebound session featuring little fundamental updates
  • US President Trump has returned to the White House stating he feels great and vaccines are coming momentarily; reportedly planning to partake in the next debate
  • Biontech (BNTX) and Pfizer (PFE) have initiated a rolling submission to the EMA for their COVID-19 vaccine candidate
  • FX features a contained USD with peers little changed aside from a softer AUD while the US yield curve is a...
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  • Asian equity markets traded positively following the firm handover from global peers as markets track stimulus developments and US President Trump’s health
  • US President Trump has left the Walter Reed Medical Centre and returned to the White House
  • US President Trump is planning to participate in the next Presidential Debate scheduled for October 15th, according to CNN
  • White House Chief of Staff Meadows noted there is potential for a stimulus...
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  • US futures are firmer but off session highs amidst relatively quiet newsflow with focus on updates from the President
  • US President Trump’s condition continued to improve and he may be discharged from the hospital as early as Monday, according to his medical team
  • The latest election polls showed a widening lead for former VP Biden following last week’s presidential debate
  • US House Speaker Pelosi & Senate Majority Leader McConnel were...
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  • MON: EZ, UK and US Services and Composite PMI Final (Sep); EZ Sentix (Oct); US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Sep); Eurogroup Meeting; RBI Policy Decision (TBC)
  • TUE: RBA Monetary Policy Decision and Australian budget; EIA STEO
  • WED: US Vice Presidential Debate; FOMC Minutes (Sep); China Golden Week Holiday Ends
  • THU: ECB Minutes (Sep); Norwegian GDP...
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  • US President Trump’s condition continued to improve and he may be discharged from the hospital as early as Monday, according to his medical team
  • Asian equity markets and US equity futures began the week with a constructive tone as the regional bourses reopened from recent holiday closures
  • The latest election polls showed a widening lead for former VP Biden following last week’s presidential debate
  • The DXY was softer amid the positive risk tone, providing some support to its major counterparts...
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  • President Trump tested positive for COVID-19; announcement sparked a risk-off move featuring ES dropping to current session lows in proximity to -2.0%
  • Sentiment remains largely driven on POTUS’ update with DXY firmer but now just back below 94.00 and UST’s firmer with the curve bear-flattening
  • US House passed the Democratic stimulus plan which Republicans oppose; passed after Speaker Pelosi announce no bipartisan deal was achieved last night
  • EU Commission President & UK PM are to hold a...
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