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MON: BoC Business Outlook Survey, Eurogroup Meeting, US Martin Luther King Jr. Day; Chinese Retail Sales/Industrial Output (Dec), GDP (Q4), EZ CPI Final (Dec), US Leading Index (Dec), Canadian Housing Price Index (Dec)

TUE: BoJ Policy Announcement, OPEC MOMR; Japanese Capacity Utilisation (Nov), UK Jobs Report (Nov), Claimant Count (Dec), German ZEW (Jan), Canadian Housing Starts (Dec), CPI (Dec), US NY Fed Manufacturing (Jan), NAHB (Jan)

WED: EIA OMR; Australian...

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  • MON: Italian Election; Japanese Manufacturing PMI Flash (Jan), EZ, UK, US Flash PMIs (Jan), German CPI Prelim. (Jan), US National Activity Index (Dec).
  • TUE: NBH Policy Announcement; Australian NAB (Dec), German Import Prices (Dec), Ifo (Jan), EZ Consumer Confidence Final (Jan), Consumer Confidence (Jan), Richmond Fed (Jan), New Zealand Trade Balance (Dec).
  • WED: FOMC & BoC Policy Announcements, BoJ SOO (Jan), India Republic Day, Australia Day; US New...
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  • Asian equity markets traded with a mild positive bias following the similar close last Friday on Wall Street
  • Chinese GDP and industrial production exceeded expectations, whilst retail sales disappointed
  • The PBoC reduced rates on its 1-year Medium-term Lending Facility and 7-day reverse repos by 10bps each
  • European futures are indicative of a mildly firmer open with the Eurostoxx 50 future higher by 0.3%
  • The USD is...
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  • European bourses are softer, Euro Stoxx 50 -0.9%, with newsflow minimal though benchmarks are off lows led by Oil & Gas given benchmark pricing
  • US futures are contained/rangebound, ES +0.1%, ahead of US Retail Sales and Fed's Williams as the last scheduled pre-blackout speaker
  • DXY remains pressured but fairly contained with peers mixed while debt dips lifting yields; however, US/German 10yr yields remain shy of recent peaks
  • Chinese trade...
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  • Asian equity markets weakened amid headwinds from the US where all major indices declined
  • Losses in the US were led by tech and consumer discretionary names amid a slew of hawkish Fed speak
  • European futures are indicative of a softer open with the Eurostoxx 50 future lower by 0.8%
  • Chinese trade figures showed weaker than expected Imports although Exports topped estimates
  • Bank of Korea hiked rates by 25bps for a third...
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  • European bourses are contained with US futures equally uninspiring, ES +0.1%; in Europe, sectors has Tech, +1.1%, notably outperforming given TSMC read-across
  • DXY remains subdued moving further below 95.00 to the benefit of peers across the board; conversely, core debt is relatively calm before more key US events
  • Russian Kremlin says talks with the West were "unsuccessful", sanctioning Putin would be comparable to severing relations
  • Some...
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  • Asia-Pac stocks traded mixed following the choppy session in the US where major indices eked mild gains
  • European futures are indicative of a flat open with the Eurostoxx 50 Mar'22 contract near the unchanged mark
  • In FX, the DXY heads into the European open a touch softer and in close proximity to the 95.00 mark
  • Fed's Bullard has said that four rate hikes in 2022 now appear likely
  • Looking ahead, highlights include US...
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  • European bourses are firmer continuing from upbeat APAC performance while US futures are more contained but retain a positive bias pre-CPI, ES +0.1%, NQ +0.3%
  • Chinese inflation metrics cooled from the prior and came in below expectations
  • The DXY is towards the top of a narrow range with peers generally contained ex-crude sensitive FX, given benchmark action
  • USTs are cautious as we await data, Fed speak and supply while EGBs, led by Bunds,...
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  • Asia-Pac bourses traded positively as stocks took their cue from the energy and tech-led gains in the US
  • US indices closed higher across the board with the Nasdaq outpacing peers with gains of 1.4%
  • Chinese inflation metrics cooled from the prior and came in below expectations
  • The DXY languished around two-month lows near 95.50. Activity currencies lead in the G10 FX space
  • Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI,...
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  • European bourses and US futures are firmer following yesterday's US rebound, ES +0.3%, but off best pre-Powell's testimony
  • Fed Chair Powell’s prepared remarks noted the economy has rapidly strengthened despite the ongoing pandemic
  • Fed's Bostic (2024 voter) sees three 2022 hikes, risks of a fourth on the possibility of higher inflation
  • DXY remains sub-96.00 and continues to drift with peers ex-JPY modestly firmer while debt is choppy but...
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  • Asian equities were subdued following on from the mostly negative lead from Wall St
  • US stocks declined at the open, but then finished off lows and the Nasdaq fully recovered from a near-3% drop as yields wavered
  • DXY is softer and back on a 95 handle as activity currencies gain and EUR/USD gains a firmer footing above 1.13
  • Fed Chair Powell’s prepared remarks noted the economy has rapidly strengthened despite the ongoing...
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MON: Japanese Old Age Day, EZ Sentix (Jan), Unemployment (Nov), US Employment Trends (Dec), Wholesale Inventory/Sales (Nov), Chinese M2 /New Yuan Loans (Dec)

TUE: EIA STEO; Australian Retail Sales (Nov), Japanese Coincident Index/Leading Indicator (Nov), UK GDP Estimate (Nov), US NFIB (Dec), Redbook (w/e Jan 3rd)

WED: Chinese CPI (Dec), EZ Industrial Production (Nov), US CPI (Dec)

THU: US Initial/Continued Jobless Claims (w/e Jan 3rd/Dec...

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  • Indecisive and somewhat choppy trade amid a thin docket; Euro Stoxx 50 -0.1%, ES U/C, NQ -0.3%
  • In FX, the DXY tested 96.00 to the upside with peers mixed but relatively contained while USTs/EGBs recovered from initial pressure
  • US Senator Manchin reportedly no longer supports a USD 1.8trl Build Back Better counterproposal, via Washington Post
  • US-Russia talks have begun and initial commentary seemingly downplays the prospect of a...
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  • Asia-Pac markets traded mixed and US equity futures were initially pressured after last Friday's post-NFP weakness
  • Ongoing Omicron woes and the absence of Japanese participants further added to the uninspired mood
  • China reported its first community transition of the Omicron variant in Tianjin which is a gateway city to Beijing
  • In FX, the DXY is firmer but sub-96.00, EUR/USD has reclaimed 1.13, USD/JPY remains on a 115...
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  • European bourses/US futures are mixed but generally contained amid minimal newsflow pre-NFP/Fed speak; ES +0.2%
  • DXY remains downbeat but off worst and yet to test 96.00 with main peers little changed and both EUR and GBP unreactive to respective data
  • Core debt is similarly confined while crude continues to climb absent catalysts though geopols draw focus
  • China may still ease policy in Q1 despite the hawkish Fed, according to reports citing...
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  • Asia-Pac equities traded mostly higher; US equity futures held onto mild gains
  • In FX, DXY was subdued, EUR/USD and GBP/USD probed 1.1300 and 1.3550 respectively
  • Fed's Bullard (hawk, voter) said the first rate hike could come in March and said the balance sheet run-off should start shortly after
  • China may still ease policy in Q1 despite the hawkish Fed, according to reports citing China's Securities Journal
  • Crypto...
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  • European bourses are pressured, Stoxx 600 -1.0%, following a downbeat APAC handover given the FOMC Minutes spillover; NQ, -0.4%, continues to lag
  • European Banking names are the primary outperformer given yield action as the US 10yr nears 1.75% and the German equivalent 0.00% (best -0.033%)
  • DXY is positive but has been pressured as FX peers receive a boost for the broad yield action; JPY leads and AUD lags in a continuation of APAC...
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  • Asia-Pac equities succumbed to the downbeat handover from Wall Street after the FOMC minutes
  • FOMC minutes said rate lift-off may be warranted sooner or at a faster pace than was earlier anticipated
  • FOMC minutes noted that Fed balance sheet reduction could come relatively soon after rate lift-off
  • Fed Fund futures see around a 70% chance of a Fed hike at the March meeting
  • US equity futures drifted lower overnight (ES...
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  • European bourses are mixed and fairly contained while US futures faded a brief moved into positive territory amid minimal newsflow; ES -0.10%, NQ -0.4% currently lags
  • DXY is downbeat but is yet to test 96.00 to the downside with G10 peers, ex-CAD given crude, buoyed and JPY outperforming after yesterday's pressure
  • US lawmakers have commenced early discussions regarding another round of COVID stimulus spending, via Washington Post
  • North Korea...
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  • Asia-Pac equities traded mostly in the red and US equity futures were subdued
  • FX, fixed income, crude and precious metals were more contained overnight
  • Fed's Kashkari (2023 voter) expect the Fed balance sheet to come down, but not to pre-pandemic levels
  • North Korea fired a projectile which landed outside of Japan's Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ)
  • China Huarong Asset Management slumped over 50% after a nine-month trade...
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  • European bourses are firmer, Euro Stoxx 600 +0.8%, amid minimal fresh newsflow; ES +0.4%
  • Asia-Pac stocks traded mixed; Mainland China and Hong Kong underperformed
  • DXY was supported as USD/JPY took out its 2021 high and nears 116.00; though, the DXY did briefly dip on GBP upside given associated yield catch-up action
  • China is requiring security checks before domestic tech firms list overseas from Feb 15th
  • Sarah Bloom...
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  • Asia-Pac stocks eventually traded mixed; Mainland China and Hong Kong underperformed
  • US and Eurozone equity majors kicked off 2022 with gains; Apple briefly hit USD 3tln market cap
  • DXY was supported as USD/JPY took out its 2021 high; AUD was underpinned by firmer coal prices
  • China is requiring security checks before domestic tech firms list overseas from Feb 15th
  • Sarah Bloom Raskin has emerged as the leading...
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  • Asia-Pac equities mostly rose in tandem with the gains seen on Wall Street
  • In FX, the DXY retained 96.00+ status, USD/JPY met sellers at 114.50, others were uneventful
  • Data suggests protection against Omicron COVID variant starts to wane 10 weeks after booster vaccination
  • Japan will not send top government officials to the Beijing Winter Olympics, but stopped short of calling it a boycott
  • Newsquawk desk will close at...
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  • A firmer but contained start for European bourses following a similar APAC handover; US futures are positive but in a holding pattern pre-data
  • In FX, the DXY has been pressured to near 96.00 at worst to the benefit of peers as Cable reclaims 1.3400 sending EUR/GBP below 0.8450
  • UK PM Johnson will not make an announcement this week on whether COVID restrictions are needed post-Christmas; waiting for more hospitalization data, according to...
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  • Asia-Pac equities traded modestly higher amid some tailwinds from Wall Street
  • US equity futures resumed trade relatively flat with an upside bias
  • In FX, DXY held onto 96.000, EUR/USD narrowly outperformed, TRY saw later strength
  • UK and Scottish studies suggested the risk of hospitalisation from the Omicron variant is much lower than the Delta variant
  • Overnight focus was on Tencent declaring an interim dividend...
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