Newsquawk

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  • European bourses are little changed this morning after a mixed Asia-Pac handover and little in the way of catalysts since then
  • DXY has inched closer to August highs with Sterling subdued and safe havens deriving some safe haven impetus
  • Italian PM Conte to address the senate at 14:00BST/09:00ET on the ongoing political crisis
  • Looking ahead, highlights include Italian PM Conte addressing the Senate, Fed’s Quarles & Daly

ASIA-PAC

Asian equity markets traded mixed as the...

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  • Asian equity markets traded mostly higher as the region benefitted from the mild tailwind in the US
  • UK PM Johnson told EU's Tusk in a letter he hopes the UK will leave the EU with a deal, but the backstop must be scrapped
  • DXY held on to recent gains although price action was uneventful ahead of this week’s FOMC Minutes and Jackson Hole symposium
  • Looking ahead, highlights include Norwegian GDP, APIs, Italian PM Conte addressing the Senate, Fed’s Quarles
  • Earnings: Persimmon, Home Depot,...
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  • European indices (+0.9%) are benefiting from the improved risk sentiment thus far, to the detriment of the fixed income complex and safe havens
  • PBoC announced that it will make the Loan Prime Rate the new Benchmark Reference Rate, which will be linked to the Medium-term Lending Facility rate
  • US President Trump reiterated he is not ready to make a deal with China, reports stated that the Trump administration will grant Huawei an additional 90-day extension, a decision is to be made today
  • Looking...
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  • MON: Japanese Trade Balance, EZ CPI,
  • TUE: Swiss Trade Balance, German PPI, Norwegian GDP, Canadian Manufacturing Sales, RBA Minutes
  • WED: Norwegian Unemployment, South African CPI, Canadian CPI, US Existing Home Sales, FOMC Minutes
  • THU: EZ & US Manufacturing, Services and Composite PMIs, Swedish Unemployment, EZ Consumer Confidence, NZ Retail Sales, ECB Minutes
  • FRI: Japanese National CPI, Canadian Retail Sales, US...
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  • European indices are higher across the board, the FTSE 100 saw a delayed start on technical issues and EU banking names saw a sudden sell-off
  • US President Trump doesn’t believe China will retaliate on tariffs, and a call is scheduled with Chinese PM XI
  • Iran has not given any assurances on Grace 1 not going to Syria, saying it was not heading there originally
  • Looking ahead, highlights include US Building Permits & Housing Starts, University of Michigan Sentiment, OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report,...
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  • Asian equity markets struggled for firm direction following the mixed lead from Wall St where most major indices eventually saw some composure
  • US President Trump said he doesn't think China will retaliate to an increase in tariffs and understands the September meeting between negotiators is still on
  • Fed Chair Powell reportedly banned Fed staff from any public appearances and is determined not to fuel the struggle between an independent Fed and President...
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  • Risk-off resumed as US-China trade tensions flared up; stock futures slumped and fixed income surged
  • China's Finance Ministry says China will have to take countermeasures on US moves, US actions violate the consensus reached in Osaka’s G20 meeting
  • US President Trump tweeted that China is eating tariffs with currency devaluation and that the tariff delay helps China more than US, but will be reciprocated
  • Looking ahead, highlights include US Retail Sales, US NY Fed, Initial Jobless Claims, Industrial...
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  • Asian equities conformed to the rout seen on Wall St. where all major indices fell around 3% and the DJIA slumped 800 points in its worst performance YTD
  • US President Trump tweeted that China is eating tariffs with currency devaluation and that the tariff delay helps China more than US, but will be reciprocated
  • British officials reportedly strongly dispute the EU's interpretation that PM Johnson's actions and demands mean he is now deliberately aiming for a No Deal outcome
  • In FX, DXY was relatively...
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  • European equities are lower across the board as yesterday’s risk on sentiment fizzles out a Chinese data disappoints, and Germany prints a Q/Q GDP contraction
  • China is to keep its plan for September trade talks in Washington with the US following the US tariff delay, according to sources
  • The US 2yr/10yr yield curve has inverted for the first time since 2007 with Bunds printing fresh contract highs above the 178.0 mark
  • Looking ahead, highlights include US Import/Export prices
  • Earnings: Cisco...
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  • Asian equity markets traded higher across the board with global risk appetite spurred by a de-escalation in the US-China trade war
  • Continued PBoC liquidity efforts and a firmer CNY fix added to the optimism before weaker than expected Chinese data saw stocks give back some of their gains
  • Italian Senate rejected League's call for a no confidence vote in parliament on Wednesday and are to debate the no confidence motion in parliament on August 20th
  • Looking ahead, highlights include German Q2 GDP...
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  • European indices are lower [Euro Stoxx 50 -0.5%] as sentiment remains risk off as the geopolitical situation remains tense with dismal German data not helping
  • Hong Kong's airport has reportedly suspended all check-ins, following online calls for another day of public assembly
  • USD is mixed between G10 counterparts with antipodeans and safe-havens outperforming and EM’s lagging
  • Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI & Italian Senate meeting to decide on Confidence Vote timing...
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  • Asian equities followed suit from the losses on Wall St with sentiment sapped by the continued overhang from the US-China trade war and disruptions in HK
  • UK PM Johnson believes EU will cave in at the last minute to save Ireland from a no-deal Brexit, according to reports citing a Downing Street source
  • Italian Senate is to meet today at 1700BST to decide when to debate the League no-confidence motion in government
  • Looking ahead, highlights include German CPI & ZEW, UK Employment, US CPI, UK 2049...
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  • European indices are now little changed, after a volatile morning dictated by risk sentiment amidst further unrest in Hong Kong
  • Hong Kong’s airport authority have activated an ‘emergency center’, and all non-checking in flights cancelled for Monday; reports indicate the People’s Armed Police are heading towards Shenzhen
  • China Global Times Editor tweeted that as long as US forces a deal on China through maximum pressure, there will never be a deal
  • Looking ahead, highlights include Italian Senate to...
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  • MON: N/A
  • TUE: German CPI, UK Labour Market Report, German ZEW, US CPI.
  • WED: Australian Wage Price Index, Chinese Industrial Production, Retail Sales, German GDP, Swedish CPI, UK CPI, PPI and RPI, EZ GDP.
  • THU: Australian Employment Report, Norges Bank, UK Retail Sales, US Philly Fed, NY Empire State Manufacturing, Retail Sales, Industrial Production.
  • FRI: OPEC Monthly Report, Eurozone Trade Balance, US Building...
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  • Asian equity markets began the week with a cautious tone, Japan, India and Singapore were away on holiday
  • In FX markets, the DXY was flat, EUR and GBP received some mild reprieve and USD/JPY revisited Friday’s lows
  • China Global Times Editor tweeted that as long as US forces a deal on China through maximum pressure, there will never be a deal
  • UK MPs are reportedly drawing up plans to force PM Johnson to request a Brexit extension, while...
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  • European indices are firmly in negative territory [Euro Stoxx 50 -1.0%], as the mixed Asia-Pac handover fizzled out
  • BTPs, FTSE MIB and Italian Banks are under significant pressure as recent reports indicate League Party are to present a no-confidence motion in the Government
  • UK GDP Prelim QQ Q2 -0.2% vs. Exp. 0.0%, after which Sterling touched multi-year lows at 1.2080
  • Looking ahead, highlights include, include US PPI, Canadian Building Permits & Jobs...
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  • Asian equity markets traded mostly higher as the region got a mild tailwind from the strong performance on Wall St and continued PBoC restraint on the CNY
  • US delayed the decision regarding Huawei licenses following China’s suspension of agricultural purchases
  • Italian Deputy PM and League leader Salvini said there is no longer a majority to support the government and it is necessary to hold fresh elections
  • AUD/USD tumultuous at the whim of central bank rhetoric including RBA Governor Lowe’s...
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  • European indices are firmer thus far, as risk sentiment remained positive after a upbeat Asia-Pac session following strong Chinese data and a firmer than expected CNY reference rate
  • Saudi official says it plans to keep its production below 10mln BPD, committed to do what ever it takes to keep the oil market balanced
  • Dollar is generally softer vs. G10 counterparts, with antipodeans outperforming on the China data though NZD has been impacted by dovish comments from RBNZ Hawkesby
  • Looking ahead,...
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  • Asian equity markets gained as a firmer than expected PBoC reference rate setting and Chinese trade data helped the region shake off initial tentativeness
  • DXY flatlined during Asian hours with price action stuck around 97.50 and with uneventful trade observed across its major counterparts
  • UK PM Johnson reportedly could call for a general election on November 1st (one day after Brexit), to get a boost from Leave supporters
  • Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims & Wholesale...
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  • European indices [Euro Stoxx 50 +1.3%] are firmer this morning defying the mixed Asia-Pac handover
  • RBNZ and RBI cut rates by 50bp and 35bp respectively, adding further fuel to the global growth narrative
  • Fixed continues to make ground with -60bps Bund yield ahead and Gold is inching closer to the USD 1500/oz mark
  • Looking ahead, highlights include, Canadian Ivey PMI, Fed’s Evans, RBA’s Bullock & supply from the US
  • Earnings: CVS & Fox

ASIA-PAC

Asian equity...

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  • Asian equity markets traded mixed as the region observed caution despite the rebound on Wall St.
  • PBoC weakened the CNY reference rate to within a whisker of the 7.0000 ‘line in the sand’ level
  • NZD/USD tumbled after the RBNZ announced a deeper than expected OCR cut of 50bps with Governor Orr refusing to rule out further action
  • Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Output, Chinese FX Reserves, Canadian Ivey PMI, RBI Rate...
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  • US Treasury Department designated China as a currency manipulator, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin said they will engage with the IMF to eliminate the unfair competitive advantage
  • China MOFCOM confirmed purchases of US agriculture products have been suspended and does not rule out placing tariffs on US agri products imported after August 3rd
  • Major European indices are firmer thus far as sentiment has made a mild turnaround or not deteriorated further from the Asia-Pac session
  • Looking ahead, highlights...
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  • Asian equity markets resumed the global sell-off after the S&P 500 posted a 6th consecutive day of losses and the DJIA dropped over 900 points intraday
  • The US labelled China a currency manipulator whilst China confirmed purchases of US agricultural products have been suspended
  • Markets found some comfort after the PBoC announced they are to to sell CNY 30bln of bills in Hong Kong and set the CNY reference rate within bounds of the perceived 7.00 line in the sand
  • European diplomats have been...
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  • European indices are firmly in negative territory [Euro Stoxx 50 -1.4%] as the US-China trade narrative ramps up and USD/CNH went through the 7.00 handle
  • China has asked state run firms to halt US agriculture purchases, however the State Planner later rebuffed the US’ accusation that China has not purchased farm products
  • Fixed remains firmer, though of off session highs while the DXY continues to falter below the 98.00 mark
  • Looking ahead, highlights include, US Services and Composite PMI; US...
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  • Asian equity markets were lower across the board as the stock rout resumed from last week’s tariff announcement by US President Trump
  • China has asked state-run purchasers to halt US agriculture imports, while a collapse in the CNH through the 7.00 handle also exacerbated the risk-averse tone
  • DXY slightly softened and dipped below 98.00, whilst safe-haven flows pressured USD/JPY below 106.00 for the first time since the flash crash at the beginning of the year
  • Looking ahead, highlights include EZ, UK...
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