• SNB is expected to stand pat on policy rate at -0.75%, with little change anticipated to the policy statement
• The central bank is likely to reiterate its commitment to FX intervention in order to offset any unwanted appreciation of the “highly valued” CHF

EXPECTATIONS

The Swiss National Bank is expected to keep rates unchanged, maintaining the Sight deposit rate at -0.75%, and the 3-month LIBOR target range between -1.25% and -0.25%. In recent...

• Norges Bank to publish its rate decision and new economic projections at 09:00 BST
• Rates expected unchanged
• Growth, inflation profiles may be revised up
• Central bank expected to stick to its hawkish stance

• Asian shares mostly higher as stocks take a breather following Tuesday’s decline
• FX price action relatively uneventful but USD/JPY reclaims 110.00
• Looking ahead, highlights include US existing home sales and a panel discussion with Fed’s Powell, ECB’s Draghi, BoJ’s Kuroda & RBA’s Lowe

ASIA

Asia stocks traded mixed as the region attempted to compose itself from the prior day’s sell-off and after some late reprieve on...

• Trump targets USD 200bln in fresh China tariffs; China says to fight back firmly
• Asia-Pac equity markets were mostly lower amid a further escalation of trade tensions
• Looking ahead, highlights include speeches from ECB’s Draghi, Praet, Lane and Fed’s Bullard

TRADE TARIFFS

US President Trump asked the US Trade Representative to identify USD 200bln in Chinese goods for further tariffs of 10% which will be imposed if China refuses to change its...

• ​​​​Asian shares pressured after China retaliates to US tariffs; HK and China markets closed
• Oil lower as Russian Energy Minister Novak proposes extension of the OPEC+ deal
• Looking ahead, highlights include ECB President Draghi speaking at the Sintra Monetary Policy conference

ASIA

Asia stocks mostly backpedalled at the start of the week as the region digested the tit-for-tat trade spat between US and China, in which the US confirmed tariffs on USD 50bln...

Key Events 

• Monday: ECB Forum on Central Banking begins
• Tuesday: RBA Minutes
• Wednesday: BoJ Minutes, Brazil Rate Decision
• Thursday: BoE Rate Decision, SNB Rate Decision, Norges Bank Rate Decision, Banxico Rate Decision, Eurogroup Meeting
• Friday: Japan CPI, OPEC Meeting, EZ PMIs, Canadian CPI

Global 

On 21 June, the JMMC will meet ahead of OPEC’s 174 the Meeting on 22 June, and then a joint OPEC non-OPEC meeting will take...

• Asian equity markets were somewhat mixed as the region digested the fallout from the ECB and Trump’s decision to impose tariffs on China
• UK government presented an amendment that reportedly fell short of rebel demands with the new clause giving Parliament a more limited say
• Looking ahead, highlights include EZ CPI, Russian rate decision, US NY Fed mfg PMI, industrial production, Uni. of Michigan, Baker Hughes, quadruple witching

ASIA

Asian equity...

• FOMC lifted the Fed Funds Rate to 1.75%-2.00% as expected. FOMC median view sees 4 hikes in 2018. Dropped reference that it expected rates to be below neutral for ‘some time’.
• House of Commons voted to reject House of Lords amendments to the EU Withdrawal Bill which would have required the Government to seek to negotiate a customs union as part of the framework for a future UK-EU relationship
• Looking ahead, highlights include German CPI (F), Swedish CPI, UK retail sales, ECB rate...

• Asian stocks traded subdued with participants tentative ahead of the looming FOMC decision and amid a resurfacing of trade concerns
• House of Commons rejected withdrawal bill amendments related to Brexit day, Henry VIII powers and ‘meaningful vote’
• Looking ahead, highlights include IEA monthly oil report, UK CPI, US PPI, DoEs, FOMC rate decision and press conference, supply from Italy and Germany

ASIA

Asian stocks traded subdued with...

• Unanimous expectations look for the ECB to leave its three key rates unchanged
• Will the ECB unveil their blueprint for winding down their PSPP or will they ‘kick the can down the road’ to July?
• Questions likely to be raised on the Bank’s view surrounding the latest developments in Italian politics
• Macro projections likely to see oil prices curtail 2018 growth...

• Asian equity markets mostly traded with modest gains following a similar performance on Wall St. and with focus fully centred on the historical summit between US President Trump and North Korean Leader Kim Jong Un
• The meeting between the 2 leaders was seen as amicable in which the leaders shook hands several times and exchanged pleasantries
• UK PM May has headed off a Conservative rebellion ahead of today’s key Brexit vote by reaching out to Remainers in her party, according to reports
...

• US President Trump refused to endorse the G7 communique which he stated was due to false statements made by Canadian PM Trudeau
• Asian equity markets and the USD subsequently began the week somewhat cautiously
• Looking ahead, highlights include Norwegian CPI, UK production, Barnier & Davis meet, US 3 and 10yr supply

G7/Trade

G7 official communique which was backed by all countries apart from the US, acknowledged free, fair and mutually beneficial trade...

Key Events

• Monday: Nothing major of note
• Tuesday: Brexit votes in the House of Commons, UK Labour Market, US CPI, US-North Korea Summit
• Wednesday: UK CPI, FOMC Rate Decision
• Thursday: Australian Labour Market, ECB Rate Decision
• Friday:  EZ CPI (Final), BoJ Rate Decision

Politics

On Tuesday, UK Parliament is...

• Asian stocks traded with a subdued tone following a lacklustre performance on Wall St. DXY has languished below the 93.50 level
• Trump launched a tweet-tirade against EU and Canada ahead of the G7, in which Trump accused EU & Canada of using massive trade tariffs and trade barriers against US
• Looking ahead, highlights including the Canadian jobs report and the beginning of the G7 summit

ASIA

Asian stocks traded with a subdued tone...

• Asian stocks traded higher as the regional bourses took impetus from the gains in their US counterparts
• USD was weaker with the DXY stuck around the 93.50 level to the benefit throughout the session
• US President Trump is said to be planning on adopting a confrontational tone at G7 in response to the other 6 nations collectively pressuring him regarding tariffs
• Looking ahead, highlights include Turkish rate decision, US weekly jobs, BoE’s Ramsden, supply from France and...

• Asian equity markets traded somewhat mixed after a similar performance on Wall St. FX markets were largely influenced by NAFTA trade concerns
• Sources suggest that ECB sees 14th June meeting as 'live' to discuss QE exit
• UK opposition Labour party are reportedly going to announce a major shift towards a soft Brexit
• Looking ahead, highlights include RBI rate decision, DoEs, ECB’s Praet, BoE’s Tenreyro and...

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• Asian equity markets traded slightly indecisive after the momentum somewhat petered out from Wall St.
• RBA kept rates unchanged as expected and reiterated its prior statements which continued to suggest a prolonged pause by the central bank
• UK PM May reportedly abandoned plans to present UK-EU blueprint before this month's summit in Brussels and will now postpone its release to after the summit
• Looking ahead, highlights include EZ, UK and US services PMI, US ISM non-manufacturing,...

• Asian equity markets began the week higher across the board as the region reacted to Friday’s US jobs report and the US-NK summit being back on the cards
• In FX markets, safe-havens were under strain in which JPY took the brunt of the heightened risk appetite which saw USD/JPY and JPY-crosses extend on Friday’s gains
• Looking ahead, highlights include UK construction PMI, US factory orders and BoE’s Tenreyro

TRADE

US Commerce Secretary...

Key Events

• Monday: UK Markit/CIPS Construction PMI
• Tuesday: Japanese Services PMI, Caixin Services PMI, RBA Rate Decision, EZ Markit Services and Manufacturing PMI,
• US ISM Non-Manufacturing, UK Markit/CIPS Services PMI
• Wednesday: Australian GDP
• Thursday: EZ GDP (3rd Reading)
• Friday: Japanese GDP, Canadian Jobs Data, G7 meeting in Canada

• Italy’s 5SM and League completed an accord on a coalition government with Conte now given the mandate to form a 5 Star/League coalition government
• Asian stocks traded cautiously after trade war concerns resurfaced following the US announcement to impose steel and aluminium tariffs on EU, Canada and Mexico
• Looking ahead, highlights include UK and Eurozone mfg PMIs, US NFP, ISM mfg, Baker Hughes and Fed’s Kashkari

TRADE

US metal tariff...

• Asian equities higher after following suit from the rebound seen in their global counterparts as Italian fears subside (for now) and encouraging Chinese data
• Italy's Five Star Movement have called for Savona to withdraw candidacy for Economy Minister to allow a government to be formed
• Looking ahead, highlights include Eurozone CPI, US personal consumption and PCE price index, Chicago PMI, Canadian GDP and DoEs

ASIA

Asian markets traded positive across...

• Asian equities trade lower across the board as Italian political woes and trade concerns grip sentiment overnight
• Cottarelli and Mattarella failed to reach an agreement on forming a government but will continue talks. ANSA report that failure to reach a deal could see elections on July 29th
• Looking ahead, highlights include regional and national German CPIs, US ADP, GDP, Advance Good Trade Balance, BoC Rate Decision, APIs

ASIA

Asian stocks traded lower...

• Asia traded mostly subdued as region lacked impetus following the market closures in US and UK. Political uncertainty in Italy and Spain added to the cautious tone
• In FX markets, the risk averse tone spurred flows into the safe-havens with JPY the main beneficiary which pushed USD/JPY briefly below the 109.00 handle
• Looking ahead, highlights include ECB’s Mersch and Lautenschlaeger

RECAP OF STORIES FROM OVER THE WEEKEND AND MONDAY FOR UK TRADERS AWAY FROM...

• Asian equity markets traded mostly higher on warming geopolitical ties with prospects of the US-North Korea summit back in play
• Italy PM-designate Conte reportedly gave up on efforts of forming a government after Italian President Mattarella rejected Eurosceptic Paolo Savona for the Economy Minister position
• Today’s calendar sees a lack of tier 1 highlights. UK and US markets are closed