19th-23rd August 2024:

• MON: US Democratic National Convention (Aug 19-22), Bank of Indonesia Announcement, New Zealand Trade Balance (Jul)
• TUE: US Democratic National Convention (Aug 19-22), PBoC LPR, RBA Minutes, Riksbank Announcement, CBRT Announcement, EZ Final CPI (Jul), Canadian CPI (Jul)
• WED: US Democratic National Convention (Aug 19-22), FOMC Minutes, Japanese Trade Balance (Jul)
• THU: US Democratic National Convention...

• Equities are modestly firmer, ex-FTSE 100, in a continuation of the optimism seen in the prior session
• Dollar is softer vs peers, Kiwi outperforms and USD/JPY holds around 148.70
• USTs are contained, but off worst levels, Gilts fairly unreactive to its own Retail Sales, holding just shy of 100.00
• Crude is on the backfoot, with pressure fuelled by updates from Libya’s Waha Oil Company, XAU incrementally firmer whilst base metals are...

• APAC stocks followed suit to the rally on Wall St after a US data deluge soothed recent economic concerns.
• DXY marginally eased back beneath the 103.00 level after recently strengthening alongside the data deluge stateside.
• Israel will be on maximum readiness for a response from Hezbollah this weekend; Biden admin is reportedly “open” to sending long-range cruise missiles to Ukraine.
• European equity futures indicate a mildly positive open...

• European bourses are modestly firmer; US futures are mixed ahead of today’s jobless claims and retail sales
• Dollar is flat and AUD outperforms post-jobs data
• Bonds are modestly lower, with slight underperformance in Gilts while USTs are contained into data
• Crude is modestly firmer, XAU gains alongside strength in base metals
• Looking ahead, US NY Fed Manufacturing, Export/Import Prices, IJC, Retail Sales, Comments...

• APAC stocks shrugged off the mixed lead from the US and gained as participants digested a slew of key data; Nikkei 225 was among the biggest gainers after GDP data topped forecasts.
• Chinese activity data was mixed as industrial production disappointed but retail sales topped forecasts; China's stats bureau said China's economic operation was generally stable in July and added domestic demand is likely to improve due to policy support.
• Fed's Bostic (voter) is open to...

• European equities are entirely in the green, US futures are mixed with price action tentative ahead of today’s US inflation report
• DXY is mixed, EUR climbs above 1.10, Kiwi is the clear underperformer after the RBNZ cut by 25bps, with projections pointing towards further easing
• USTs are essentially unchanged, Gilts benefit from softer-than-expected inflation metrics, with particular focus on the Services component
• Crude is incrementally...

• APAC stocks only partially sustained the momentum from Wall St where risk sentiment was underpinned by softer-than-expected PPI data.
• RBNZ cut the OCR by 25bps to 5.25% (vs. mixed views between a cut and a hold); projections point to a further reduction this year.
• Japanese PM Kishida confirmed he won't run for re-election as LDP leader.
• European equity futures indicate a mildly positive open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.3% after the...

• A choppy session for European equities thus far, now currently modestly higher; US equity futures entirely in the green
• Dollar is softer vs the Antipodeans but gains vs the typical havens, GBP benefits post-jobs data
• USTs are flat awaiting today’s US PPI, Bunds benefit from dire German ZEW metrics
• Crude is slightly softer, XAU is lower but within a tight range, base metals are entirely in the red
• Looking ahead, US...

• APAC stocks followed suit to the mixed lead from the US ahead of key data.
• European equity futures indicate a firmer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.3% after the cash market finished with losses of 0.1% on Monday.
• DXY is steady just above 103, havens lag vs. the USD, whilst risk currencies outperform.
• White House's Kirby said the timing of Iran's attack on Israel could be this week and they have to be prepared for what could be...

• Equities are mostly, but modestly firmer, taking positive leads from a constructive APAC session.
• Dollar is flat, Antipodeans outperform whilst traditional haven FX lags.
• Bonds are incrementally softer and have traded sideways for much of the session.
• Crude outperforms amid the heightened geopolitical tensions, XAU edges towards USD 2450/oz.
• Looking ahead, highlights include Indian CPI & US NY Fed...

• APAC stocks began the week mostly higher following last Friday's gains on Wall St and light macro newsflow over the weekend; Japanese markets were closed for Mountain Day.
• European equity futures indicate a firmer open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.5% after the cash market finished with gains of 0.1% on Friday.
• 10-year UST futures lacked direction amid light catalysts and with overnight cash treasuries shut due to the Tokyo closure.
• BoE's...

12th-16th August 2024

• MON: OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report; Japanese Market Holiday (Mountain Day), German Retail Sales (May), Indian Trade Balance (Jul)
• TUE: IEA Oil Market Report, Australian Wage Price Index (Q2), UK Jobs (Jun/Jul), German ZEW Survey (Aug), US PPI (Jul)
• WED: RBNZ Announcement and Quarterly MPS, Bank of Israel Announcement, UK Inflation (Jul), Swedish CPIF (Jul), Indian WPI (Jul), EZ GDP Flash (Q2), US CPI...

• European bourses & US futures firmer with newsflow light and the move a continuation of Thursday's data-driven upside
• DXY slightly softer but holding firmly above 103.00 with G10s generally rangebound
• Fixed bid but in familiar territory, USTs have recovered from supply-induced pressure on Thursday
• Crude contained with geopolitics still in focus, NatGas benchmarks slip as flows continue through Ukraine, base metals benefit from Chinese...

• APAC stocks took impetus from the relief rally on Wall St where sentiment was underpinned after a larger-than-expected decline in Initial Jobless Claims soothed some of the recent labour market concerns.
• DXY marginally softened in rangebound trade but remained above 103.00; 10-year UST futures nursed losses and got some mild reprieve after recent bear steepening.
• Crude futures kept afloat amid the positive mood and as participants await Iran and Hezbollah's...

• European bourses are lower across the board, Euro Stoxx 50 -1.2%, as the downbeat sentiment from Wall St. reverberated into APAC trade and continued.
• DXY softer with catalysts light, G10s largely contained though the AUD outperforms after RBA commentary
• Fixed benchmarks bid, but largely rangebound, into data and supply
• Crude consolidates from recent gains while NatGas has pared initial Kursk-driven outperformance, metals...

• APAC stocks traded mixed after the weak handover from Wall St where the major indices fumbled early gains and finished in the red amid soft earnings and geopolitical risks.
• RBI kept the Repurchase Rate unchanged at 6.50%, as expected, while it maintained the stance of remaining focused on the withdrawal of accommodation.
• Israel told the US if Hezbollah harms Israeli civilians as part of its retaliation for the assassination of its top military commander, the Israel...

• European bourses are firmer but with divergence in the main benchmarks on account of Novo Nordisk slipping post-earnings, Stoxx 600 +1.1%
• Stateside, futures in the green with action choppy at times as we count down to key earnings incl. DIS; ES +1.1%
• DXY bid and above 103.00 but slightly off best, upside driven by Uchida-driven JPY weakness; USD/JPY over 147.50 in APAC trade
• Fixed benchmarks continue to falter from recent highs and look...

• APAC stocks continued their recent rebound but with some of the gains capped as markets digested mixed Chinese trade data.
• USD/JPY rallied to above the 147.00 level in an aggressive reaction to comments from BoJ Deputy Governor Uchida who said they won’t hike rates when markets are unstable and must maintain the current degree of monetary easing for the time being.
• White House said the US has seen some volatility in the economy, but the broader economy is resilient,...

• APAC markets found reprieve from Monday's pressure, a narrative which contained into Europe but has dissipated modestly
• Stateside, US futures modestly in the green as we look ahead to key earnings
• DXY managing to post modest intraday gains with pressure seen across G10 peers ex-AUD which leads after a hawkish RBA
• Fixed benchmarks spent the early morning under pressure but EGBs have lifted off lows following auctions/data; USTs remain...

• APAC stocks were mostly positive as the region rebounded from the recent market turmoil.
• Nikkei futures saw an upside circuit breaker triggered, while the Korea Exchange activated sidecars for the Kospi and Kosdaq after early surges.
• The RBA policy announcement provided no major surprises as it kept rates unchanged and maintained its hawkish tone.
• Fed’s Daly (voter) said none of the labour market indicators she looks at are flashing red...

• European bourses opened with marked downside, following the APAC pressure post-NFP with sentiment hit further by updates concerning Apple and Nvidia; US futures slump, ES -2.5% & NQ -4.0%
• APAC pressure was pronounced with circuit breakers triggered in Japan and South Korea; Nikkei 225, -12%, closed with a record daily points fall
• Hefty losses for the DXY with JPY the main beneficiary and USD/JPY down to a 141.70 base, EUR benefitting modestly from the USD...

• APAC stocks mostly slumped following last Friday's continued sell-off on Wall St, while heightened tensions in the Middle East linger.
• MSCI Asia Pacific has wiped out all of 2024 YTD gains; Nikkei 225 fell over 12% and circuit breakers were triggered Japan and South Korea.
• US equity futures were pressured amid the sell-off in Asia; ES -1.9%, NQ -3.7%, YM -0.8%, RTY -3.0%.
• European equity futures indicate a lower open with Euro Stoxx 50...

Week Ahead 5th-9th August:

• MON: Canadian Market Holiday (Civic Day), Chinese Caixin Services PMI Final (Jul), UK/EZ/US Services & Composite PMI Final (Jul), US ISM Services PMI (Jul), EZ Producer Prices (Jun)
• TUE: RBA Announcement and SOMP, EIA Short-term Energy Outlook, EZ Retail Sales (Jun), Canadian Trade Balance (Jun), New Zealand Jobs (Q2)
• WED: BoC Minutes, German Trade Balance (Jun) and Industrial Output (Jun), Chinese Trade...

Week Ahead 5th-9th August:

• MON: Canadian Market Holiday (Civic Day), Chinese Caixin Services PMI Final (Jul), UK/EZ/US Services & Composite PMI Final (Jul), US ISM Services PMI (Jul), EZ Producer Prices (Jun)
• TUE: RBA Announcement and SOMP, EIA Short-term Energy Outlook, EZ Retail Sales (Jun), Canadian Trade Balance (Jun), New Zealand Jobs (Q2)
• WED: BoC Minutes, German Trade Balance (Jun) and Industrial Output (Jun), Chinese Trade...

• European bourses/US futures under pressure with the ISM-induced downside exacerbated by tech pressure post-INTC (-21%)
• Chipmakers lower after a grim update from INTC, AMZN lower after earnings, AAPL modestly softer
• DXY pressured overall but with peers generally mixed-rangebound, EUR back above 1.08 while Cable continues to slip post-BoE
• Fixed benchmarks continue to rise with yields pressured across the curve into Payrolls and the first...