12th-16th August 2024

• MON: OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report; Japanese Market Holiday (Mountain Day), German Retail Sales (May), Indian Trade Balance (Jul)
• TUE: IEA Oil Market Report, Australian Wage Price Index (Q2), UK Jobs (Jun/Jul), German ZEW Survey (Aug), US PPI (Jul)
• WED: RBNZ Announcement and Quarterly MPS, Bank of Israel Announcement, UK Inflation (Jul), Swedish CPIF (Jul), Indian WPI (Jul), EZ GDP Flash (Q2), US CPI...

• European bourses & US futures firmer with newsflow light and the move a continuation of Thursday's data-driven upside
• DXY slightly softer but holding firmly above 103.00 with G10s generally rangebound
• Fixed bid but in familiar territory, USTs have recovered from supply-induced pressure on Thursday
• Crude contained with geopolitics still in focus, NatGas benchmarks slip as flows continue through Ukraine, base metals benefit from Chinese...

• APAC stocks took impetus from the relief rally on Wall St where sentiment was underpinned after a larger-than-expected decline in Initial Jobless Claims soothed some of the recent labour market concerns.
• DXY marginally softened in rangebound trade but remained above 103.00; 10-year UST futures nursed losses and got some mild reprieve after recent bear steepening.
• Crude futures kept afloat amid the positive mood and as participants await Iran and Hezbollah's...

• European bourses are lower across the board, Euro Stoxx 50 -1.2%, as the downbeat sentiment from Wall St. reverberated into APAC trade and continued.
• DXY softer with catalysts light, G10s largely contained though the AUD outperforms after RBA commentary
• Fixed benchmarks bid, but largely rangebound, into data and supply
• Crude consolidates from recent gains while NatGas has pared initial Kursk-driven outperformance, metals...

• APAC stocks traded mixed after the weak handover from Wall St where the major indices fumbled early gains and finished in the red amid soft earnings and geopolitical risks.
• RBI kept the Repurchase Rate unchanged at 6.50%, as expected, while it maintained the stance of remaining focused on the withdrawal of accommodation.
• Israel told the US if Hezbollah harms Israeli civilians as part of its retaliation for the assassination of its top military commander, the Israel...

• European bourses are firmer but with divergence in the main benchmarks on account of Novo Nordisk slipping post-earnings, Stoxx 600 +1.1%
• Stateside, futures in the green with action choppy at times as we count down to key earnings incl. DIS; ES +1.1%
• DXY bid and above 103.00 but slightly off best, upside driven by Uchida-driven JPY weakness; USD/JPY over 147.50 in APAC trade
• Fixed benchmarks continue to falter from recent highs and look...

• APAC stocks continued their recent rebound but with some of the gains capped as markets digested mixed Chinese trade data.
• USD/JPY rallied to above the 147.00 level in an aggressive reaction to comments from BoJ Deputy Governor Uchida who said they won’t hike rates when markets are unstable and must maintain the current degree of monetary easing for the time being.
• White House said the US has seen some volatility in the economy, but the broader economy is resilient,...

• APAC markets found reprieve from Monday's pressure, a narrative which contained into Europe but has dissipated modestly
• Stateside, US futures modestly in the green as we look ahead to key earnings
• DXY managing to post modest intraday gains with pressure seen across G10 peers ex-AUD which leads after a hawkish RBA
• Fixed benchmarks spent the early morning under pressure but EGBs have lifted off lows following auctions/data; USTs remain...

• APAC stocks were mostly positive as the region rebounded from the recent market turmoil.
• Nikkei futures saw an upside circuit breaker triggered, while the Korea Exchange activated sidecars for the Kospi and Kosdaq after early surges.
• The RBA policy announcement provided no major surprises as it kept rates unchanged and maintained its hawkish tone.
• Fed’s Daly (voter) said none of the labour market indicators she looks at are flashing red...

• European bourses opened with marked downside, following the APAC pressure post-NFP with sentiment hit further by updates concerning Apple and Nvidia; US futures slump, ES -2.5% & NQ -4.0%
• APAC pressure was pronounced with circuit breakers triggered in Japan and South Korea; Nikkei 225, -12%, closed with a record daily points fall
• Hefty losses for the DXY with JPY the main beneficiary and USD/JPY down to a 141.70 base, EUR benefitting modestly from the USD...

• APAC stocks mostly slumped following last Friday's continued sell-off on Wall St, while heightened tensions in the Middle East linger.
• MSCI Asia Pacific has wiped out all of 2024 YTD gains; Nikkei 225 fell over 12% and circuit breakers were triggered Japan and South Korea.
• US equity futures were pressured amid the sell-off in Asia; ES -1.9%, NQ -3.7%, YM -0.8%, RTY -3.0%.
• European equity futures indicate a lower open with Euro Stoxx 50...

Week Ahead 5th-9th August:

• MON: Canadian Market Holiday (Civic Day), Chinese Caixin Services PMI Final (Jul), UK/EZ/US Services & Composite PMI Final (Jul), US ISM Services PMI (Jul), EZ Producer Prices (Jun)
• TUE: RBA Announcement and SOMP, EIA Short-term Energy Outlook, EZ Retail Sales (Jun), Canadian Trade Balance (Jun), New Zealand Jobs (Q2)
• WED: BoC Minutes, German Trade Balance (Jun) and Industrial Output (Jun), Chinese Trade...

Week Ahead 5th-9th August:

• MON: Canadian Market Holiday (Civic Day), Chinese Caixin Services PMI Final (Jul), UK/EZ/US Services & Composite PMI Final (Jul), US ISM Services PMI (Jul), EZ Producer Prices (Jun)
• TUE: RBA Announcement and SOMP, EIA Short-term Energy Outlook, EZ Retail Sales (Jun), Canadian Trade Balance (Jun), New Zealand Jobs (Q2)
• WED: BoC Minutes, German Trade Balance (Jun) and Industrial Output (Jun), Chinese Trade...

• European bourses/US futures under pressure with the ISM-induced downside exacerbated by tech pressure post-INTC (-21%)
• Chipmakers lower after a grim update from INTC, AMZN lower after earnings, AAPL modestly softer
• DXY pressured overall but with peers generally mixed-rangebound, EUR back above 1.08 while Cable continues to slip post-BoE
• Fixed benchmarks continue to rise with yields pressured across the curve into Payrolls and the first...

• US stocks sold off in the wake of the disappointing US ISM Manufacturing PMI data which sparked a flight to quality; APAC followed suit with hefty losses in the region.
• Post-earnings, Apple (AAPL) rose 0.6%, Amazon (AMZN) fell 6.9%, and Intel (INTC) tumbled 18.9%; US equity futures remained on the back foot.
• BoE Chief Economist Pill said there will be bumps in the road on inflation ahead and he is not committing to further interest rate...

• European bourses are lower across the board with a packed earnings slate dictating, stateside futures mixed post-FOMC and ahead of AAPL & AMZN; META +6%
• USD supported by pressure in GBP ahead of a potential BoE cut with EUR at lows as sentiment in the region deteriorates.
• Gilts lead fixed income pre-BoE, EGBs unaffected by Final PMIs and downbeat commentary from HCOB on Germany
• Crude continues to benefit from geopol. risk premia ahead of...

• FOMC kept rates unchanged at 5.25-5.50%, as expected, while it stated that inflation remains 'somewhat elevated' and the committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate. 
• Fed Chair Powell said if the Fed sees inflation move down with expectations, growth remains reasonably strong and the labour market remains as it is, a rate cut would be on the table in September.
• US stocks saw a rally in tech and some mild two-way action following the...

• BoJ hiked and announced changes to its bond purchases; during but mainly post-Ueda marked JPY appreciation occurred with USD/JPY as low as 150.07
• Stocks in Europe opened mostly firmer as the optimism from Asia-Pac reverberated into Europe; US futures bid pre-FOMC; MSFT -3%, AMD +9%
• DXY lower on account of JPY strength, EUR supported post-HICP, GBP contained, AUD hit on its own CPI print
• Fixed initially followed JGBs higher before paring on...

• APAC stocks gained heading into month-end as participants digested a slew of data releases and the BoJ policy decision.
• BoJ hiked rates by 15bps and is to taper monthly bond purchases by JPY 400bln per quarter.
• Chinese manufacturing PMI remained in contractionary territory, core Australian CPI measures came in below expectations.
• European equity futures indicate a mildly higher open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.1% after the cash market...

• A mostly firmer start to the session, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.5%, with sentiment on a better footing than APAC counterparts as earnings take the spotlight ahead of this week's risk events.
• Stateside, a modest positive bias remains in play into JOLTS and then earnings which include MSFT, AMD, MRK, PFE & PG.
• DXY largely contained vs. peers, JPY on the backfoot while NZD outperforms. EUR marginally firmer after a data deluge
• Fixed benchmarks...

• APAC stocks were mostly pressured following the mixed performance stateside as this week's major risk events drew closer.
• European equity futures indicate a rangebound open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.1% after the cash market finished with losses of 1.0% on Monday.
• DXY was directionless overnight, JPY has lost ground to the USD, EUR/USD bounced off support above 1.08.
• US refinancing estimates ahead of the QRA saw the Treasury lower...

• A positive start for European bourses, following the APAC handover, quickly shifted into a more mixed picture as the broader risk tone became increasingly tepid
• USD now broadly firmer vs. peers after a sluggish start to the session, GBP and EUR underpressure while JPY pares initial strength
• Fixed benchmarks benefit from the more tepid tone, EGBs, Gilts & USTs all at/probing recent highs
• Crude came under pressure as the tone tilted and...

• APAC stocks traded mostly higher as the region resumed the momentum following last Friday's gains on Wall St.
• Israeli PM Netanyahu said Hezbollah will pay heavily for a rocket attack that killed children in the Golan Heights.
• European equity futures indicate a positive open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.5% after the cash market finished with gains of 1.1% on Friday.
• DXY is softer but holding above the 104 mark, JPY is outmuscling the...

29th July-2nd August 2024

• MON: Chinese Industrial Profit (Jun)
• TUE: Japanese Unemployment Rate (Jun), Australian Building Approvals (Jun), Spanish Flash CPI (Jul), Swiss KoF (Jul), German GDP (Q2), Prelim. CPI (Jul), EZ Consumer Confidence Final (Jul), US JOLTS (Jun)
• WED: FOMC Announcement, BoJ Announcement and Outlook Report, BCB Announcement; Chinese NBS PMI (Jul), Australian CPI (Q2/Jun), German Retail Sales (Jun), Unemployment...

• European bourses are mostly higher as sentiment improves after the prior day’s hefty selling pressure; US futures entirely in the green, with clear outperformance in the RTY
• Dollar is flat ahead of today’s US PCE, safe havens lag whilst the Antipodeans gain in a slight reversal from price action this week
• USTs are rangebound, EGBs softer with European specifics-light
• Crude is incrementally softer and just off best levels, XAU gains alongside...