30 May 2023, 06:35 by Newsquawk Desk
- US President Biden reached a budget agreement in principle with House Speaker McCarthy to raise the debt limit by 19 months until 1st January 2025
- In FX, DXY initially softened overnight alongside a downtick in US yields but then recovered against its major peers and as the CNY continued to depreciate; US equity futures saw mild gains
- In geopolitics, Russia launched a large drone attack on Kyiv over the weekend, while it was recently reported two residential...
26 May 2023, 11:15 by Newsquawk Desk
- Risk tone has slipped as we await substantive debt ceiling updates into the long weekend
- DXY is softer, but remains above 104.00, with CHF and JPY outperforming
- EGBs/Gilts slipped on UK Retail data, but have since pared with USTs bid on the above tone
- Commodities edging higher given the USD and XAU benefitting from sentiment
- McCarthy said there was no agreement Thursday; will stay to continue work. Biden said they...
26 May 2023, 06:30 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks traded mixed following the mild positive bias stateside where the tech sector surged on Nvidia’s blockbuster report
- Nikkei 225 outperformed, US equity futures were rangebound, and European equity futures are indicative of a flat open
- US President Biden and House Speaker McCarthy are said to be near a deal that would raise the debt ceiling for two years and cap spending
- US House Speaker McCarthy said there was no agreement on...
25 May 2023, 11:30 by Newsquawk Desk
- NQ outperforms post-NVDA, with Europe deriving upside in tandem though capped after German GDP revisions
- Stateside, debt ceiling concerns continue with focus on Fitch though journalist updates since have been somewhat constructive on talks
- USD remains dominant with the DXY above 104.00 with NZD descending further after Orr’s remarks
- EGBs/USTs continue to slip though Gilts remains the standout laggard in a continuation of the UK-CPI...
25 May 2023, 06:40 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks were mostly lower with the region cautious after the losses on Wall St owing to debt ceiling fears, whilst Fitch placed the US on Credit Watch Negative.
- Nasdaq futures surged as NVIDIA (NVDA) shares rallied almost 25% after the close as earnings and forecasts beat expectations
- The FOMC May minutes were in fitting with recent Fed commentary and showed that officials were somewhat split on support for more rate hikes
- European...
24 May 2023, 11:30 by Newsquawk Desk
- European bourses are under marked pressure as headwinds mount while US futures are lower but more contained awaiting debt ceiling developments
- Overall, updates via journalists this morning are skewed to the downside on a near-term agreement
- Hawkish impulses were seen on hot UK CPI, with core fixed income pressured & BoE pricing lifting
- Though, Bunds & USTs have reverted back to modest positive territory as focus returns to potential...
24 May 2023, 06:25 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks were mostly lower following the negative lead from Wall St and amid US-China frictions.
- The US House China Select Committee Chair called for retaliation against China’s ban on Micron.
- US GOP Rep. McHenry said the top-line disagreement remains on spending and he cannot say when negotiations will resume.
- European equity futures are indicative of a lower open with the Euro Stoxx 50 -0.4% after the cash market closed down by 1.0%...
23 May 2023, 11:20 by Newsquawk Desk
- European bourses are pressured on continuing Manufacturing PMI softness alongside hawkish pricing implications
- Stateside, futures are essentially flat as we await further substantive debt ceiling updates and remarks from Fed’s Powell
- Biden said he is optimistic on making debt ceiling progress; McCarthy described the meeting as a productive discussion
- DXY is underpinned and benefitting further from EUR & GBP weakness post-PMIs while the...
23 May 2023, 06:30 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks were indecisive as participants digested the latest from the debt limit negotiations.
- US House Speaker McCarthy said he had a productive agreement with President Biden but they don't have an agreement yet.
- European equity futures are indicative of a flat open with the Euro Stoxx 50 Unch. after the cash market closed down by 0.2% yesterday.
- DXY is steady on a 103 handle, FX ranges are narrow across G10 FX, EUR/USD lingers just...
22 May 2023, 11:25 by Newsquawk Desk
- European bourses are mixed/flat with US futures diverging slightly with the ES & NQ pressured by Meta and Micron.
- Broader focus remains firmly on the debt ceiling after constructive weekend updates ahead of an expected Biden-McCarthy talk today (time TBC).
- DXY holds above 103.00 with the CHF outperforming and peers otherwise generally contained
- EGBs remain bid with the periphery outperforming after Greek elections and rating updates for...
22 May 2023, 06:42 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks were mostly positive but with price action rangebound amid cautiousness as the debt limit deadline draws closer.
- President Biden said his discussion with House Speaker McCarthy on Sunday went well and they will talk again on Monday.
- Fed’s Kashkari (voter) said he is open to foregoing a June rate hike but would object to any kind of declaration that they are done lifting rates.
- European equity futures are indicative of a flat open...
19 May 2023, 11:35 by Newsquawk Desk
- European bourses/US futures are firmer with fresh drivers limited and the focus firmly on Fed speak
- Debt ceiling reports indicate steady progress is being made, a view echoed by White House officials; Biden to leave G7 dinner early
- USD retreats from multi-weak peaks amid a Yuan revival to the benefit of G10s pre-Powell
- EGBs have seen two-way action but are holding off early German PPI-induced lows, USTs comparably more...
19 May 2023, 06:33 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks were mostly higher following the tech-led gains on Wall St where the Nasdaq outperformed and the S&P 500 printed a 9-month high.
- US President Biden held a call with the debt ceiling negotiation team and his team said that steady progress is being made in talks.
- European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.4% after the cash market closed up 1.0% yesterday.
- DXY sits above the 103.50 mark...
18 May 2023, 11:25 by Newsquawk Desk
- European bourses continue the positive Wall St/APAC action, with action slightly limited by Ascension Day
- Stateside, futures edge into the green but are largely continuing sideways action ahead of WMT and substantive debt updates
- DXY picks up to the detriment of peers as the Yuan falls further and AUD lags on jobs data
- EGBs descend further with yield levels in focus while USTs are more contained pre-data/Fed...
18 May 2023, 06:30 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks were higher as the region took its cue from the momentum on Wall Street, although some of the gains were capped as participants digested soft data releases.
- US House Speaker McCarthy said he is optimistic about the ability to work together and said a debt ceiling deal by Sunday is doable.
- European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.7% after the cash market closed up 0.2% yesterday.
- DXY sits...
17 May 2023, 11:20 by Newsquawk Desk
- European bourses & US futures are incrementally firmer in somewhat limited trade with corporate updates factoring and the focus on debt talks
- DAX 40 outperforms amid strength in Siemens & SAP; region follows mixed APAC trade, though Nikkei 225 surpassed 30k
- Overall, debt ceiling updates were slightly constructive, but the impasse does ultimately remain
- DXY briefly topped 103.00 as the Yuan continues to slip on soft data to the...
17 May 2023, 06:33 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks were mixed with the region cautious after the weak handover from the US where risk appetite was clouded amid debt ceiling concerns.
- The meeting between Biden and congressional leaders achieved no major breakthroughs although was said to be productive and has set the stage to carry on further conversations.
- European equity futures are indicative of a flat open with the Euro Stoxx 50 unchanged after the cash market closed flat...
16 May 2023, 11:20 by Newsquawk Desk
- European bourses are relatively contained, but off best after downbeat/mixed ZEW
- US futures spent the morning rangebound though have similarly dipped post-HD earnings, -4% pre-market
- President Biden is to meet McCarthy at 15:00ET/20:00BST, Yellen to speak beforehand
- DXY continues to retreat despite initial fleeting upside with G10s firmer, GBP picks up after weak labour data
- AUD, Yuan and base metals are dented by...
16 May 2023, 06:35 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks traded mixed and only partially sustained the momentum from Wall St, while markets also digested weaker-than-expected Chinese activity data.
- US President Biden has scheduled a debt limit meeting with US House Speaker McCarthy on Tuesday at 15:00EDT/20:00BST.
- European equity futures are indicative of an uneventful open with the Euro Stoxx 50 unchanged after the cash market closed flat yesterday.
- DXY is steady below 102.50, EUR/USD...
15 May 2023, 11:20 by Newsquawk Desk
- European bourses & US futures are firmer but with magnitudes modest amid limited specific newsflow
- DXY dips below 102.50 with its initial upside diminishing as peers are generally firmer ex-JPY while core debt drifts
- US President Biden said that debt ceiling talks are moving along and they will know more in the next couple of days about progress in discussions.
- SEK and TRY depreciate after soft inflation & inconclusive Turkish...
15 May 2023, 06:45 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks traded mixed following the subdued performance last Friday on Wall St, while participants in the region brace for this week’s key economic releases.
- European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.1% after the cash market closed up 0.2% on Friday.
- DXY sits near Friday's highs, JPY lags the majors, antipodeans outperform, EUR/USD remains on a 1.08 handle.
- US President Biden said that...
12 May 2023, 11:30 by Newsquawk Desk
- European bourses are firmer though the region is set to end the week where it began, US futures modestly bid.
- DXY underpinned vs most G10s with USTs slightly softer and Fed's Bowman saying recent CPI and NFP reports do not provide persistent evidence of disinflation.
- EGBs have struggled for firm direction but are veering lower after hitting WTD peaks on Thursday.
- Crude has lifted off initial lows to trade flat with macro news limited as we...
12 May 2023, 06:42 by Newsquawk Desk
- The meeting between US President Biden and congressional leaders was postponed to next week.
- US House Speaker McCarthy said postponing the debt ceiling meeting doesn't mean that debt talks have fallen apart.
- APAC stocks were mostly lower amid a busy slate of earnings releases and after the subdued performance stateside.
- European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.4% after the cash market closed...
11 May 2023, 11:20 by Newsquawk Desk
- European bourses are firmer, but off best, with fresh drivers lacking after a busy pre-market ahead of the BoE
- Stateside, futures retain a positive bias but have been largely horizontal; DIS -5.5% after-earnings
- DXY lifts towards 102.00 with AUD lagging on Yuan/metals weakness after benign Chinese CPI/PPI
- Somewhat volatile EGB trade with Bunds bolstered by a 9k block but then slipping to lows with drivers slim
- Crude...
11 May 2023, 06:35 by Newsquawk Desk
- APAC stocks traded mixed after the indecisive performance stateside where stocks whipsawed, while regional bourses also reflected on softer-than-expected Chinese inflation.
- European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.2% after the cash market closed down 0.4% yesterday.
- DXY lingers around 101.50 with price action in FX markets broadly contained, Cable maintains 1.26 status ahead of the BoE.
- Fed...