Newsquawk

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  • APAC stocks traded mostly in the green following a modestly positive lead from Wall Street
  • The final Presidential Debate prompted little market action, but was overall structured, civilised and touched upon policy
  • US President Trump said a COVID-19 vaccine is ready and will be announced in the coming weeks, but it is not a guarantee; Gilead’s Remdisivir received FDA approval
  • NEC Director Kudlow said differences in COVID relief talks between the White House and House Democrats are not likely to get...
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  • European bourses are subdued this morning, Stoxx 50 -0.2%, but off lows with fundamental updates sparse and US futures posting similar declines; ES -0.2%
  • Differences continue to narrow but more work needs to be done on US stimulus and Pelosi & Mnuchin will speak again today
  • US FBI Director said US has identified Russia and Iran to have taken action to interfere with the election; Russia have since denied this
  • Tesla printed a new sales record and posted its 5th consecutive quarter of profit,...
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  • Asia-Pac equities traded with losses across the board as the region took its cue from the downbeat Wall Street handover
  • Differences continue to narrow in US stimulus talks but more work needs to be done. Pelosi and Mnuchin will speak again today, according to her aide
  • US FBI Director said US has identified Russia and Iran to have taken action to interfere with the election
  • In FX, DXY retraced some of yesterday’s losses, EUR/USD fell below 1.1850, Cable held onto 1.3100, USD/CNH drifter...
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  • European bourses are pressured this morning in-spite of limited fundamental updates, Stoxx 50 -0.9%; stateside, futures are off lows, ES +0.1%
  • House Speaker Pelosi & Treasury Secretary Mnuchin are moving closer to a deal and will speak later today; however, McConnel sees a vote on a deal prior to the election as unlikely
  • Netflix, -5.1%, beat on EPS but missed revenue and subscriber addition expectations for the quarter
  • FX features a desolate USD moving further below the 93.00 mark in DXY terms;...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly higher after a modestly firm handover from Wall Street; Mainland China underperformed
  • US House Speaker Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin are moving closer to a stimulus deal and will speak again today, according to her aide
  • Senate Majority Leader McConnell reportedly told Senate on Tuesday that he has warned the White House not to make a big stimulus deal before the election
  • AstraZeneca (AZN LN) COVID-19 vaccine trial in the US is expected to resume as early as this week,...
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  • European bourses are mixed to flat in a relatively lacklustre session thus far while US futures remain supported, ES +0.7% ahead of the Democrats stimulus deadline
  • US Chief of Staff Meadows spoke with Treasury Secretary Mnuchin on COVID-19 relief, said there has been progress but no breakthrough yet
  • Moderna (MRNA) CEO said its COVID-19 vaccine could get authorisation for emergency use in December, contingent on positive interim results in November, WSJ
  • EU Chief Brexit Negotiator Barnier & UK...
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  • Major APAC indices traded lower across the board after Wall Street suffered another down day
  • US Chief of Staff Meadows spoke with Treasury Secretary Mnuchin on COVID-19 relief, said there has been progress but no one is "popping the champagne corks yet"
  • EU's Chief Brexit Negotiator Barnier has reportedly given no indication that the bloc is prepared to cede to UK PM Johnson's demands regarding concessions to get a deal, particularly on fishing
  • OPEC+ panel made no recommendation on Monday to change...
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  • European bourses are firmer but off highs (Stoxx 50 +0.6%) with fundamental newsflow light and focus on Pelosi’s stimulus deadline; ES +0.7%
  • House Speaker Pelosi said she is optimistic on a COVID-19 relief bill before the election. Pelosi gave a 48-hour deadline to the Trump admin
  • Chinese Q3 GDP missed Exp. but activity measures topped forecasts
  • Chinese government officials are warning the US they may detain US nationals in China in retaliation to the Justice Department’s prosecution of...
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  • APAC stocks traded mostly higher; but gains in Mainland China waned post-GDP
  • House Speaker Pelosi said she is optimistic on a COVID-19 relief bill before the election. Pelosi gave a 48-hour deadline to the Trump admin
  • Chinese government officials are warning the US they may detain US nationals in China in retaliation to the Justice Department’s prosecution of military-linked Chinese scholars, sources said
  • UK officials are reportedly...
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  • European bourses are firmer this morning, Stoxx 50 +1.0%, seemingly in a pick-up from yesterday’s performance as newsflow remains light; ES +0.1%
  • WHO trial indicates Gilead's remdesivir appeared to have little or no effect on 28-day mortality or in-hospital course of COVID-19 patients
  • Pfizer (PFE) could be ready to apply for emergency use authorisation for its COVID-19 vaccine by late-November, WSJ
  • The EU is reportedly considering making a more explicit link between energy & fish in Brexit...
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  • Asia-Pac equities traded mostly lower following on from another downbeat handover from Wall Street
  • WHO trial indicates Gilead's remdesivir appeared to have little or no effect on 28-day mortality or in-hospital course of COVID-19 patients
  • In FX, DXY was uneventful, holding onto the prior day’s gains, EUR/USD hovers above 1.17 and GBP/USD trades sub 1.29
  • Mills in China are reportedly being told to stop buying Australian cotton. Government sources said the cotton industry could face tariffs as high as...
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  • European bourses are suppressed as risk-off reigns amid rising COVID-19 cases and renewed lockdown restrictions in major European cities; Dax Dec’20 -3.0%, ES -1.1%
  • US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin said the Trump administration will keep trying to get a deal on COVID-19 relief, stating that President Trump told him to keep at it to secure a deal
  • Brexit language has reportedly been toughened in the latest EU summit draft document; EU leaders are set to authorise a continuation of negotiations
  • FX...
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  • APAC equity markets traded mostly lower; ASX 200 bucked the trend whilst Hang Seng lagged
  • US sanctions have been imposed on Hong Kong Chief Executive Carrie Lam, according to a statement on the US Treasury's website
  • A US battleship crossed the Taiwan Strait on Wednesday, the US Navy said; China said it will resolutely defend territorial integrity
  • Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, after speaking with House Speaker Pelosi, said stimulus talks are still far apart and it is difficult to get anything done...
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  • European bourses are modestly softer this morning with downside emanating as we approach US hours; ES -0.2%, below 3500
  • GBP took fleeting impetus from reports the UK will not immediately walk away from Brexit talks with the PM said to decide the path on Friday
  • IEA monthly oil market report left 2020 & 2021 demand forecasts broadly unchanged; a release which seemingly sparked modest crude support, albeit short-lived
  • Looking ahead, highlights include ECB's Lane & Mersch, Fed's Clarida &...
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  • APAC stocks traded with little in the way of conviction and within tight ranges following a downbeat Wall Street handover
  • Eli Lilly's (LLY) trial of its coronavirus antibody treatment has been paused over safety concerns
  • Senate Majority Leader McConnell said he will table a stimulus proposal for USD 500bln next week; House Speaker Pelosi reportedly said she has no intention to meet McConnell in the middle
  • BoK and MAS left policy settings unchanged as expected
  • Looking ahead, highlights...
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  • European bourses are subdued in a scaling back of yesterday’s gains with similar performance in ES & Dow but Nasdaq outperforms +0.7%
  • Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) COVID-19 study paused due to unexplained illness in a participant
  • White House has reportedly asked Congress to approve three separate arms packages to Taiwan; sparking pushback from China
  • Chinese Customs spokesman said they are paying attention to the impact of the USD/CNY fluctuations
  • FX features a firmer but rangebound USD to...
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  • APAC markets traded mixed; Australia outperformed, Hong Kong trade was cancelled
  • Johnson & Johnson confirmed they have paused all dosing in Janssen COVID-19 vaccine candidate trials due to an unexplained illness
  • Chinese Customs spokesman said they are paying attention to the impact of USD/CNY fluctuations
  • White House has reportedly asked Congress to approve three separate arms packages to Taiwan
  • In FX, DXY was firmer, EUR/USD dipped below 1.1800, AUD underperformed, USD/CNH rose above...
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  • European bourses/US futures have been choppy but ultimately exhibit modest gains this morning; ES +0.3%
  • US House Speaker Pelosi said we remain at an impasse in COVID-19 aid talks; Mnuchin and Meadows have called for immediate use of remaining PPP funds
  • President Trump states he no longer has COVID-19 and has requested his campaign places him on the road every day from now while the 15th Oct debate has been cancelled
  • EU leaders are to insist on tough enforcement for any UK trade deal; UK PM Johnson...
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  • MON: --
  • TUE: Bank of Indonesia Monetary Policy Decision; UK Labour Market Report (Aug); German ZEW Survey (Oct); US CPI (Sep); OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report
  • WED: BoK Monetary Policy Decision; Singapore MAS, IEA Oil Market Report
  • THU: UK's de-facto deadline for UK-EU deal; European Council Summit (Day 1); US Second Presidential Debate; Australian Labour Force Report (Sep); Chinese Inflation (Sep); OPEC+ JTC...
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  • APAC equity markets kicked the week off mixed; Chinese markets outperformed, Nikkei lagged
  • PBoC lowered its RRR on FX forwards for financial institutions to 0% from 20% starting today
  • US House Speaker Pelosi said we remain at an impasse in COVID-19 aid talks; Trump admin has called on Congress to pass a stripped-down version of the relief bill
  • EU leaders are said to be drawing up a “hit list” of up to 20 large-cap tech companies; EU has asked US to withdraw punitive tariffs or prepare for additional...
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  • US futures are firmer given overnight stimulus comments and deriving further strength as US participants approach
  • Speaker Pelosi & Treasury Secretary Mnuchin spoke again while Trump is reportedly open to more than a skinny bill
  • President was concerned by the market reaction to him walking away from stimulus discussions
  • UK Chancellor Sunak to announce a new job-support scheme; separately, EU diplomats believe Brexit talks are yet to make enough progress
  • FX features a downbeat DXY at fresh...
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  • Asian equity markets traded mixed but with a mildly positive bias as US equity futures extended on the prior day’s gains
  • President Trump noted optimism that stimulus talks are beginning to work and was said to be open to something larger than a skinny bill
  • President Trump was said to be worried about the stock market reaction from the decision to walk away from stimulus
  • In FX, the DXY was lacklustre below 93.50, EUR/USD trades firmer and GBP/USD sits above 1.2950
  • RBI maintained the...
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  • European bourses & US futures are firmer in choppy trade amidst limited new fundamental catalysts
  • US Vice Presidential debate saw Harris & Pence exchange blows in an attempt to discredit the records of both Presidential candidates; CNN poll shows Harris winning the debate
  • FX is relatively rangebound with a choppy DXY meandering the U/C mark at present as antipodeans outperform
  • In terms of fixed income, USTs are exhibiting mild flattening in contrast to the steepening action seen throughout...
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  • Asian equity markets traded mostly positive as the region took its cue from the rebound in the US
  • FOMC minutes provided little in the way of fresh information with no greater clarity on how far the Fed would permit inflation to overshoot its target
  • In FX markets, the DXY is modestly softer, but above 93.50, EUR/USD is little changed and GBP/USD extended gains above 1.2900
  • The US Vice Presidential debate saw Harris and Pence exchange blows in...
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  • European bourses are modestly softer while US futures recuperate after Trump’s stimulus update yesterday
  • Trump says he is ready to immediately sign a standalone stimulus check bill
  • US House Democrats stated that Facebook (FB), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), Apple (AAPL) enjoy ‘monopoly power’ and recommended big changes
  • FX features a downbeat DXY to the modest benefit of peers (ex-safe havens)
  • Treasuries have reverted back to the week’s steepening narrative ahead of 10-year issuance and...
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